Tuesday, October 8, 2024

Weeks 4&5: Rapid Fire

Here's a rapid-fire update in the hopes of trying to get caught up before getting further behind.

Week 4 Game Recaps

Skyler > Brandon: Skyler got lucky that several of Brandon's players got hurt.

Brady > Jordan: Brady had 4 guys who went for 20+, Jordan had 0.

TJ > Scott: This blowout of the week was made possible by TJ having 3 score 20+ while Scott had none. TJ even had 1 of those three go for 30+.

Matt > Tyler: Matt had one guy over 30, Tyler had one guy over 20. Tyler's bottom two players combined for 2 points. Tyler's bottom two players combined for less than Matt's worst player. This was the battle of ineptitude

Kyle > Rob: Weekly bonanza as well as the weekly and nightly nail-biter, so it was easily the game of the week. 

Trevor > Tommy: Game was decided by Sunday afternoon.  According to the website, this was Trevor's first win over Tommy. Both had players score 0 points, but Trevor got the win by having three 20+ point players (including a 30+), while Tommy only had two 20+ point players.

Week 4 Awards

MVP: The Titan's DST gets this for Kyle.  They were playing Monday night, they were averaging 7 points a game, and then they put up 19 in a game Kyle only won by 8.

LVP: There's no one obvious, so I'll say the Dolphins DST for Rob. Will Levis got hurt before he could give up 3+ sacks or throw a pick 6.

Unluckiest Team of the Week:  Rob was a top 4 team and still lost -- it couldn't happen to a more deserving team.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Matt was the lowest-scoring winner, and is lucky to stay undefeated.

Highest Scoring Team of the Week: TJ put on a clinic this week.  Let's hope it's not a trend (foreshadowing).

Lowest Scoring Team of the Week: Tyler needs to go to a clinic as the only team to not break 100.

King of the Court: TJ takes the crown from Scott this week.

Week 5 Game Recaps

Skyler vs Trevor: This was the battle of ineptitude, but at least there was a Monday Nightmare/Miracle to make up for the low score, and this was also the closest game of the week. Each team only had one player score 20+, and each had 3 players in single digits, and both had a key player injured. There's no real reason that Skyler won this game.

Brandon vs Tommy: This would have been the weekly bonanza had TJ not gone nuclear and automatically made his game the bonanza.  Almost hitting the bonanza was unexpected as these two came into the game defeated.  As a parting gift to his former North Carolinian, Tommy took the win with him to Cedar City. On the top end, both teams had two players score 20+.  Tommy got said win thanks to the lower-level players though, as Brandon had one player go <=5 while Tommy had none, and Brandon had 4 players score single digits, while Tommy only had 2.

Tyler vs Rob: Speaking of teams getting their first wins of the season, Tyler gets his first win thanks Lamar going for 40+ and Rob tanking.

TJ vs Brady: TJ decided he liked being the high scorer last week, but didn't like that he didn't get his shout-out in time -- so he went even higher this week and throttled Brady, making this both the weekly bonanza and blowout of the week. Said throttling was made possible by Burrow going for 40+, London going for 30+, and Bigsby and Bowers going for 20+.  Brady had a valiant effort and would have won against about half the league, but had a rough schedule this week. TJ keeps his King of the Court crown for another week, and Brady is no longer undefeated.

Jordan vs Scott: Jordan got the win this week by ~30 points.  In a normal week, that's blowout material, but this week it only puts him in the top half of winning margins. Jordan's win came on the backs of his studs as he had two 20+ point players (Murray and Wilson).  He needed those top players as he had 4 people in single digits, while Scott had only one player score single digits (and he was 3 yards away from being double digits).

Kyle vs Matt: Matt got a 35-point win -- which was made possible by the 2nd highest scorer going against the lowest scorer.  Again, that was solid blowout material except TJ went crazy.  Anyway, Matt remains the last undefeated team thanks to a great game from Ja'Marr Chase going for 40+ and Geno going for 20+. Kyle was let down by no one going over 20 points.

Week 5 Award Season

MVP: Shaheed got Skyler the late win on MNF in the closest game, so he was the front-runner, but then I remembered that Lamar put up so many points for Tyler that he convinced Rob to quit a game he would have won had he actually tried, so Lamar gets the award this week for getting Tyler his first win.  Burrow was also a leading contender as he was the highest-scoring player on the highest-scoring team, but TJ could have sat him and still won.

LVP: Kaimi Fairbairn and the Saints DST.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Skyler should win the award as he was the lowest-scoring winner, but for reasons mentioned above, we'll give it to Tyler.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: Brandon would have beat 6 other people, so he'll get the award this week, though Trevor has a minor claim to the thrown with only 10 points combined from Darnold and Hall.

Highest Scoring Team of the Week: TJ -- aka Mr Goodtimes

Lowest Scoring Team of the Week: Kyle

King of the Court: The good times keep rolling for King Goodtimes, and he holds onto his crown for another week.

Game Previews

Skyler (6) vs Tyler (11): Skyler has 0 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. He has 5 players on bye. Tyler has 4 players on Thursday (likely only 2 starters) and 0 players in primetime.  He has 1 player on bye. 

Kyle (7) vs Tommy (9): Kyle has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 3 players on bye. Tommy has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime.  He has 0 players on bye.

Matt (1) vs TJ (2): Matt has 2 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. He has 3 players on bye. TJ has 2 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime.  He has 1 player on bye. Rankings have this as the bonanza.

Rob (10) vs Jordan (4): Rob has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 2 players on bye. Jordan has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime.  He has 1 player on bye.

Trevor (5) vs Brady (3): Trevor has 0 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. Brady has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime.  He has 0 players on bye. 

Brandon (12) vs Scott (8): Brandon has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. He has 3 players on bye. Scott has 2 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime.  He has 1 player on bye. Based on rankings, this is the battle of ineptitude.

Good luck to everyone but Trevor this week.

Tuesday, September 24, 2024

Week 3: 2,1,0

3, 2, 1, 0 -- a countdown that is often used by kids playing ball in the driveway, as part of a countdown on New Year's Eve, or even a shuttle launch.  This week, however, it perfectly describes each division from the top (3 wins) to the bottom (0 wins).  This kind of pattern isn't uncommon -- there's usually a division that follows this pattern at least once a year, sometimes even twice a year.  2024 is only the second time every division follows this pattern.  The only other time it has happened was actually last year.  If we put too much stock into last year's results, Brady, Matt, and Jordan (all 3-0) will all make the playoffs, and one of them will win the whole thing. Two of the 2-1 teams (Scott, Trevor, TJ) will make the playoffs this year, and only one of the 1-2 teams (Skyler, Rob, Kyle) will have a shot.  Sorry to the 0-3 teams (Tommy, Brandon, Tyler), assuming history holds.

Game Recaps

Skyler vs Brady: Skyler started off strong Sunday morning -- whether that was because his Vikings did well, or just because he had more people than Brady in the morning game, it doesn't really matter -- but Brady's RB's made it a close game Sunday afternoon. Monday night ended up being a Josh Allen clinic has he gained Brady a lead and then kept building on it until he had Skyler's team (and the Jaguars) in a chokehold.  Despite the 'comeback' nature of this game, it wasn't even close to the best game of the night. As previously mentioned, Allen was a big player in getting Brady the win, but Brady's Lions (Montgomery and ARSB) joined the 20+ club with Allen. Skyler had 3 people in the 20+ group as well (Daniels, Jones, Jefferson).  The big difference in this game was Brady having 6 people score double digits while Skyler only had 3, and Skyler having two players at 5 and under, while Brady only had 1. This was somehow the bonanza -- most of that having to do with Brady being the high scorer of the week.

Tommy vs Scott:  This was the 2nd place for the battle of ineptitude, but it was the best game of the week as it was closest, and went back and forth several times on Monday night aka Nail-biter of the night and week, and also a Monday Nightmare/Miracle. Scott's team wrapped up on SNF, while Tommy still had his DST and RB going on MNF. Tommy may have been thankful that his players weren't going head to head, but in the end, the players ended up canceling each other out to some degree, with his DST getting negative points, and ETN wasn't able to do enough to counteract. By my count, there were 4 lead changes during the night, and in the end, Scott walked away with a win by less than 4 points.  The small bit of consolation for Tommy is that at least it was far enough away that it wasn't like he lost by 10 yards or anything.  Tommy's only 20+ point player was Nabers, while Scott had no players in that group. It probably won't help Tommy feel any better that he had 6 people score double digits, while Scott only had 5.  The thing that set this game apart was Tommy's bottom 2 people scoring a combined -0.7, while Scott's bottom two players combined for 6.5

Matt vs Trevor: This was the first week Matt finally played a full roster, but that actually ended up helping him, as Trevor's defense scored negative points.  Trevor probably felt he had a small chance going into Monday night, but then Matt's two players combined for nearly 50 and secured the come-from-behind win by nearly 25 points. Despite the two MNF players combining for almost 50, only one of Matt's players got 20+ points (Ja'marr Chase). Trevor's only entrant into the 20+ point club was Rashee Rice.  Matt's win came on the margins as he had 4 double-digit scorers to Trevor's 3, and his 5U club had 0 members, while Trevor's had 2 (combined for negative points).

Rob vs Brandon: Rob would have been the high scorer of the week, but he decided to sit his DST and instead buy a lotto ticket called 'the Bills backup RB'. He could afford to do that thanks to this being the biggest blowout of the week.  Rob was able to secure said blowout on the backs of Dak, Kyren, and Charbonnet as they all scored 20+ (the first two actually went for 30+), while Brandon only had one person score 20+ (Derrick Henry with 30+). 6 of Rob's 8 starters went for double digits, while Brandon only had 2.  Rob was so top-heavy, it made no difference that he had 3 slots score 5U, while Brandon only had 1.

TJ vs Kyle: This wasn't a wire-to-wire win, but TJ led for most of the game and ended up winning comfortably.  Kyle started out alright with a quick start from Olave, but then TJ clawed back, with some back and forth in the morning games, and then TJ took the lead early in the afternoon game and never looked back.  TJ's win was made possible by Burrow and Taylor joining the 20+ point group, 5 people with double digits, and only one 5U player.  Kyle had the workhorses at the top by also having two people in the 20+ point group (Mahomes and Olave), and 4 people with double digits, but was let down by three 5U players.

Jordan vs Tyler and the Half Iron Man: Thanks to the Half Iron Man, Tyler only rostered half a team.  That's not entirely true -- Mark Andrews was active, he was just awful.  Mixon was declared out almost 24 hours before the game though, so that's definitely on Tyler. Thanks to Tyler's poor showing, Jordan didn't even roster a full team and was the 5th highest-scoring team this week without a DST. Jordan had two 20+ point players (Saquon and DK), while Tyler only had one in Lamar Jackson. Jordan also had a noticeable lead in the double-digit count as he had 5 players score double digits, while Tyler only had 3. Jordan had two 5U players (one being no DST), while Tyler had three (two bad players and an inactive Mixon) 5U players. At least Tyler apologized to the league, but I feel he owes a few more apologies.  He owes one to Tony Stark since Tyler thinks he can call himself Iron Man now. He owes one to social media -- Shalyse called him an Iron Man on Facebook for completing a half Iron Man.  If we gave full titles for halfway completing something, I hope we can get 4-time league champ Chad back in the league.  Lastly, he owes God an apology for using his body to be out exercising on the Sabbath, instead of vegging on the couch and watching football all day.

Award Season

MVP: This is tricky because most games were some version of blowouts, so I want to give the award to someone on Scott's team for helping him get the win, but his team was kind of 'meh' individually.  Let's give it to the Seahawks DST for their best game of the season.  I know we're only 3 weeks in, so there's plenty of time to pass that number, but I'd be surprised if they get over 17 the rest of the season.  The runner-up goes to Josh Allen for having 35 points at halftime for the highest-scoring team of the week.

LVP: It would be easy to give this to the Bengals for getting negative points on MNF in a game that was decided by less than 4 points.  But I'll go a little deeper and say the newly acquired Rhamondre Stevenson was the real downfall for Tommy. Before this week, Rhamondre was averaging 19.3 a week -- this week he left the 19 at home and only scored 0.3.  

Unluckiest Team of the Week: The numbers say Skyler should win as the highest-scoring loser, but as the 6th highest-scoring team, that hardly counts.  Let's give this one to Tommy for the timing of his loss in addition to all of the LVP comments about his team above.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Scott was the lowest-scoring winner, and got the win in the last minutes of the MNF doubleheader. But hey, he's 2-1, and sometimes it's better to be lucky than good.

Highest Scorer of the Week: Brady wins this award after a big night by Allen, and a concession by Rob.

Lowest Scorer of the Week: I would say the half Iron Man was a touchdown catch away from being half of Brady's points, but no one on his team actually caught a touchdown (rushing and passing only this week), so instead I'll just keep it classy and say "Tyler is the low scorer of the week".

King of the Court: Scott holds on to his crown last minute after the nail-biter that was Monday Night and will try to hold onto it another week when TJ comes to town.

Centurion Watch: Congrats to Jordan and Rob for joining the Centurion Lounge this week. We hope you enjoy the amenities, and the towels that look like $100 bills should stay by the pool/hot tub area when you're done. Matt finally passed Chad and is in sole possession of 5th place all-time in wins at 94.

Game Previews

Skyler (9) vs Brandon (11): Skyler has 0 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. Brandon has 0 players on Thursday and 3 players in primetime.  This is far and away the front-runner for the battle of ineptitude

Brady (1) vs Jordan (2): Brady has 0 players on Thursday and 3 players in primetime. Jordan has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime.   This is the clear front-runner for the bonanza and the game of the week.

Scott (6) vs TJ (5): Scott has 3 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. TJ has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. 

Tyler (12) vs Matt (3): Tyler has 0 players on Thursday and 3 players in primetime. Matt has 0 players on Thursday and 3 players in primetime.  

Rob (8) vs Kyle (7): Rob has 1 player on Thursday and 3 players in primetime. Kyle has 0 players on Thursday and 4 players in primetime.   4 of the 7 primetime players are on MNF, so this should be a nail-biter

Tommy (10) vs Trevor (4): Tommy has 2 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. Trevor has 0 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime.   

Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Week 2: What an Ugly Week

Welcome to week 2, where passing around the NFL is still a mess.  Last week only 2 QB's threw for 300+ yards, and only 16 threw for 200+ yards in their game.  This week, we had 3 QB's throw for 300+ and 17 threw for 200+.  At this rate, we could have some fireworks during the fantasy championship -- though it's probable that none of us feel like we're going to make it, as this was a week of ineptitude and ugly injuries.

Game Recaps

Skyler vs Scott: This was such a sad game. The highest scorer (Scott) took on the lowest scorer (Skyler) and nearly doubled him up. It was such a blowout in part because Skyler only had Justin Jefferson score 20+ points, and only a total of two people who hit double digits, with 3 under 5. Scott on the other hand had 3 people score 20+ (Hurts, Adams, Godwin), 6 total people in double digits, and 1 with 5 and under. This game was so bad, that it was over as soon as the morning games had finished.  Skyler's 9 players were worse than Scott's 5 early players. This was somehow not the battle of ineptitude, but it was close.  It finished at 223.76 points

Tommy vs Brady:  This was technically the nail-biter of the week as it was the closest game of the week, but it ended on Sunday night.  Not only did it end before Monday, but Tommy wasn't able to complete the comeback and fell just short as Brady ended up leading wire to wire. Brady was led to victory somewhat miraculously as he only had one guy score 20+ (The Sun God), but a 0 from his TE. It helped he had 7 people in double digits. Tommy kept it close by also having one person score 20+ points (Nabers), only one person score 5 and under,  and 6 people score double digits.  In a game where the margin was under 5 points, that additional double-digit scorer appears to have been all the difference. 

Matt vs Brandon: 2-0 Matt still has yet to play someone with a full roster, as Keenan Allen was a late scratch for Brandon.  It didn't help that Brandon started an additional WR who was never targeted in real life. Brandon also lost Cooper Kupp midway through the game, but not to be outdone, Brandon had Pacheco leave the game and go on IR.  The game started out fun with each team having a 25+ point running back on Thursday night. Matt's eventual come-from-behind victory was made possible thanks to MHJ's breakout game.  MHJ and Cook were Matt's only 2 20+ point scorers, while Brandon's only two were Achane and Kittle.  Brandon actually had more double-digit scorers (5), than Matt did (4), but Brandon was done in by two guys scoring 0 points (his only members of the 5 and under club), while Matt had two guys score 5 and under, but at least they combined for more than 0. Maybe next week Matt will face a full roster? This was somehow not the battle of ineptitude, but it was close.  It finished at 224.94 points

Rob vs Trevor: Speaking of not having a full roster, Trevor decided to play 2 people down and still won by over 25 points.  Oh, my bad, he just had 2 people who ended up getting 0 points. Rob only had one person in the 20+ tier (Devonta Smith), while Trevor had two (Hall and Collins).  In terms of double digit scorers, Rob had five, and Trevor had 6.  Finally, in the 5 and under club, Rob had 4 people while Trevor had 2.  For winning by 25, I expected Trevor blow out Rob in one of these categories, but it looks like Trevor marginally won in each category, and it was enough to give him a comfortable win.  He wasn't the top scorer of the week, but Trevor is still looking like the team to beat. This was somehow not the battle of ineptitude, but it was close. It finished at 225.4 points

Tyler vs TJ: In another not quite a blow out, but not a close game, TJ and Tyler went head to head.  Thursday started off in Tylers favor as TJ's starting RB scored less than half a point, Tyler was not able to capatilze, and they went into Monday night with TJ having a solid lead, while having one player left two play, and Tyler having two.  Sadly for Tyler, London did enough to keep Bijan and the Eagles kicker at bay for TJ. Tyler had no players score 20+ points, while TJ only had two (Burrow and Flowers [Side note, Harry Potter smells something flowery that he thought came from the Burrow when he was smelling Amortentia in book 6.  I can't decide if this duo should be nicknamed Amortentia, or Ginny Weasley, but I'm gonna think on it some more]). Tyler didn't fare much better in the double digit category as he had 4 to TJ's 6, and they each only had one player in the 5 and under club. Finally, we find the battle of ineptitude. It finished at 220.7 points

Jordan vs Kyle: For my money, this was the game of the week (there is no money on this, so feel free to disagree) as it was the Monday Night Nail-Biter (final of 5 point difference) and since there was a comeback, the Monday Nightmare/Miracle. It was also easily the bonanza of the week as they were the 2nd and 3rd highest scorers of the week.  Kyle started strong with Kamara going to yet another level and scoring 44 points. The rest of his team was solid, but wasn't good enough to overcome Jordan's team making a furious comeback, capped off by Saquons performance on Monday Night Football to finish off the narrow victory. Jordan had only had two people score 20+ (Murray and Metcalf), while Kyle only had Kamara. Each team also had 6 scorers in double digits, while Jordan had 3 people score 5 and under, while Kyle only had 1.  Based on those metrics, with the knowledge Kamara scored 44, it would have been safe to assume Kyle won, but sometimes Monday Night Miracles happen.

Award Season

MVP: It was only 17.6 points, but Saquon did just enough to get Jordan's team over the line.  The other finalists were Kyler Murray (the highest scorer on Jordan's team), Amon-Ra St. Brown (highest scorer in the closest game), and Davante Adams (highest scorer on the highest scoring team)Uta

LVP: I'll give this to Mahomes as he only got 15 points and threw 2 INT's in a game that was decided by 5 points.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: Kyle was 3rd highest scorer of the week, and lost in the 4th quarter of MNF after having Kamara go off for 44 points.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Matt wins this -- maybe it's because he was the lowest scoring winner, or maybe it's because he played another team not playing a full lineup.  I'll let you decide.

Highest Scorer of the Week: Scott beat everyone to the highest scorer award, and led the 2nd highest scorer by double digits.

Lowest Scorer of the Week: Skyler was easily the lowest scorer of the week as the next lowest scorers out did him by 20+ points.

King of the Court: All Hail Scott, the King of the Court, first of his name. He put Skyler out to pasture and took the crown in the process. He will look to defend it against Tommy next week before we begin interdivision play

Centurion Watch: Jordan and Rob should be at 98, while Brady should be at 99.  I'll have to look this up later and confirm.

[Update] I reviewed the data, and had to go back through the blog and the website for 2019 to confirm everything (it was screwy because of the way I added Chad back to the league at the end of the season), and Brady's win over Tommy made him a centurion. Rob and Jordan are both at 99 and even if they lose every possible game, one of them will have to get in this year when they play the other -- unless they get the league's first tie that game and lose every other game, we will get two more Centurions this year.  

The next closest at 93 career wins is Matt, and also Chad for that matter.  Matt could get there, while I hope Chad someday gets there. The next closest are Kyle and Tyler at 89 wins. It will be a tall order for one of them to make it this year, but it could happen if they have an amazing rest of the season.  Konner has 29 career wins -- he hasn't been a full-time player since 2014,  (though he did get one win when taking over for Geoff at the end of 2018) and Brandon is at 28 career wins and should move up past Konner soon. Tommy is at 36 and could pass Geoff at 44 this year if things go his way.

Game Previews

[hopefully coming later today after I get home from YM's]

[Oops, my bad]

Quick Programming Note - There appear to be 2 MNF games this week. Prepare to sweat it out accordingly.

Skyler (8) vs Brady (3): Skyler has 0 players on Thursday night and 1 player in primetime. Brady has 0 players on Thursday night and 4 players in primetime. 

Tommy (10) vs Scott (6): Tommy has 1 player on Thursday night and 3 players in primetime. Scott has 0 players on Thursday night and 0 players in primetime. The winner gets the King of the Court

Matt (4) vs Trevor (1): Matt has 0 players on Thursday night and 3 players in primetime. Trevor has 1 player on Thursday night and 1 player in primetime. This is looking like the Bonanza and maybe the Monday Nightmare/Miracle, so it's as front-runner for the game of the week.  The winner will stay undefeated.

Rob (12) vs Brandon (9): Rob has 0 players on Thursday night and 1 player in primetime. Brandon has 0 players on Thursday night and 1 player in primetime. This is the clubhouse leader for the battle of ineptitude.  The loser will continue to be defeated as both teams have started 0-2.

TJ (7) vs Kyle (5): TJ has 0 players on Thursday night and 3 players in primetime. Kyle has no players on Thursday night and 2 players in primetime.

Jordan (2) vs Tyler (11): Jordan has 1 player on Thursday night and 0 players in primetime. Tyler has 0 players on Thursday night and 2 players in primetime. Given the rankings difference, this looks like the early battle of ineptitude, though Tyler is currently a 10 point favorite in the projections.

Good luck to everyone but Brady this week.

Tuesday, September 10, 2024

Week 1: AI Won't Be Coming For Our Jobs Just Yet

Welcome to the 2024 season! Football is finally back and we can stop being friends for a while.

If you recall week 1 last year,  I had a real banger of a song that did not involve AI.  Well, in the spirit of that song and Rob's attempts to tank this year, I thought this video would give a solid recap of his attempt to tank -- but we'll get to the specifics of that matchup later.

Game Recaps

Skyler vs Tommy: In one of the closer and higher-scoring games of the week, Skyler got a victory over Tommy, despite Tommy leading most of the game.  Skyler had Daniels and the Bears DST in the 20+ point inquisition, while Tommy had Stroud and Brown in the 20+ point group. Skyler had 5 people score double digits, while Tommy had 7 score double digits.  Tommy had 1 person in the 5 and under club, while Skyler had 2 guys score 5 and under.  By all accounts, this game made no sense -- especially when you look at how crucial the Kicker and DST were to this matchup. As Skyler was the king of the court last week, he keeps it this week after beating Tommy.

Rewritten by ChatGPT to be in the voice of Shawn Spencer: In one of this week's nail-biting, edge-of-your-seat matchups, Skyler pulled off a victory over Tommy despite Tommy having the upper hand for most of the game. Skyler had Daniels and the Bears DST doing their 20+ point dance, while Tommy's Stroud and Brown were also in that high-scoring club. Skyler had five players rock the double digits, but Tommy's crew was packing a whopping seven double-digit scorers. On the flip side, Tommy had just one member of the 5 and under club, while Skyler had two.

Now, if you thought this game made sense, you'd be wrong. The kicker and DST were like the unexpected plot twist that makes the entire episode worthwhile. Skyler, having reigned supreme last week, decided to keep his crown this week with a victory over Tommy. It’s like a plot twist in an epic season finale – you didn’t see it coming, but it totally makes sense!

Rewritten as a scene from Psych: **INT. PSYCH OFFICE - DAY**

*Shawn and Gus are lounging in their usual spots, Shawn on the desk and Gus in the chair next to him. A large whiteboard behind them is filled with colorful markers, charts, and a complex game plan that looks like it could double as a mad scientist’s blueprint.*

**SHAWN:** (dramatic) Alright, Gus, hold on to your kale chips because this week’s matchup was more perplexing than a Rubik's Cube at a quantum physics convention.

**GUS:** (squinting at the whiteboard) Lay it on me, Shawn. How did Skyler manage to outsmart Tommy in this high-stakes showdown?

**SHAWN:** Picture this: Tommy was like the reigning champion of the game, leading most of the time like a knight in shining armor, until—*cue suspenseful music*—Skyler swoops in like a well-timed plot twist.

**GUS:** (intrigued) And what happened next?

**SHAWN:** Skyler had Daniels and the Bears DST doing their high-scoring mambo in the 20+ point club, while Tommy’s Stroud and Brown were busting moves in the same exclusive VIP section.

**GUS:** (impressed) So, they were neck and neck?

**SHAWN:** Exactly! But here's where it gets juicier. Skyler had five players hitting double digits, and Tommy had a whopping seven. But Tommy had one lonely soul in the 5 and under club, while Skyler had two of his guys underperforming like they forgot their lines in a big scene.

**GUS:** (confused) Sounds like it should have been Tommy’s game to lose.

**SHAWN:** That’s the twist! The kicker and DST were the unexpected heroes here. Skyler kept his crown from last week, and this week, he held on to it by the skin of his teeth.

**GUS:** (nodding) So, it was a real cliffhanger!

**SHAWN:** (grinning) You betcha! It’s like the season finale where you never see it coming, but when it hits, it all makes perfect, if somewhat baffling, sense.

*Shawn and Gus exchange a satisfied look as they finish up their snack, the whiteboard still filled with cryptic notes and colorful markers.*

**GUS:** (cheerful) Can’t wait to see what next week’s episode has in store.

**SHAWN:** (with a wink) Oh, it’s going to be a doozy. Just you wait!

*They both laugh as the scene fades out.*


Scott vs Brady: Scott had someone from both Thursday and Friday to make things interesting early on, but unfortunately for him, only one of those two was any good.  Brady was able to catch up pretty easily thanks to Josh Allen going off.  For context, Scott's whole team scored 3 TD's all week, Josh Allen scored 4 TD's by himself. Allen was one of 3 people to be in the 20+ point club for Brady (Stevenson and Evans), while Scott only had Hurts join the group.  Both teams had 3 players score 5 and under, while Scott actually had 5 double-digit point-getters to Brady's 4. This ended up being the blowout of the week. (Original)

ChatGPT Rewrite in the voice of Micahel Scott from the Office since Brady likes the office:
Okay, listen up! So, Scott had players going on both Thursday and Friday—thinking he’s making things “interesting.” But, like usual, only one of those guys did any good. Meanwhile, Brady? He just sits back, sipping his coffee, while Josh Allen goes completely bananas. For perspective: Scott’s entire team scored 3 TDs all week, and Josh Allen alone scored 4. That’s insane! Allen, Stevenson, and Evans are basically Brady’s all-stars. Hurts tried to help Scott, but, you know... it’s Hurts. The rest? Blowout city. Classic!

As a scene from the office: 

Cut to the conference room. Scott stands in front of the whiteboard, looking mildly frustrated.

Scott: (talking head) "Okay, so here’s the thing—I had people playing Thursday and Friday. Thought I’d start strong, keep things interesting. But no. Only one of them does anything good. Classic."

Cut to Brady smirking at his desk, clearly ahead in the matchup.

Scott: (exasperated) "Meanwhile, Brady's guy, Josh Allen, decides to score FOUR touchdowns by himself! My whole team? Three touchdowns. It’s like watching Dwight try to play basketball—painful."

Jim raises his eyebrows in the background.

Scott: (still ranting) "Brady had three players over 20 points—Allen, Stevenson, Evans. Me? Just Hurts. Yeah, thanks Jalen... Real helpful. Both of us had guys scoring under five, but somehow I had more double-digit players than him. Doesn’t matter though. Blowout city, people!"

Camera zooms in on Scott’s sad face, clearly defeated.

Scott: (shrugs) "You win some, you lose some... but mostly, you lose some."

Cut to Dwight nodding in agreement, oblivious.

Matt vs Rob:  Rob's tanking antics are legendary, but it's good to see when it blows up in his face a little bit.  This story has not been confirmed, but he likely picked up Likely as an insurance policy in case Andrews got hurt.  He didn't get hurt, but Likely played so well Rob couldn't drop him.  At this point Rob still had 3 starters out, but had one less person to drop. He also had a couple of handcuffs he didn't want to drop, and a starter who missed the week because of injury.  In the end he tanked yet again, but I don't think the plan was to tank the way he did.  To help guarantee the victory, Matt picked up the last two kickers to make sure Rob couldn't use them to his advantage.  Matt needed a kicker anyway since he was also holding onto his lottery tickets like Rob was, but he decided to pick up the last two kickers just to be safe Picking up the kickers when he did secured the victory as Moody scored 24 points, and had Rob picked him up, Rob would have won.  Matt only had two people score 20+ points -- the aforementioned Mad Eye, as well as the Saints DST. Rob had no one score 20+ points. Matt had 6 people score double digits, while Roby only had 5.  Matt had two people score 5 and under, while Rob had three when you include the kicker he didn't start. In the interest of being 'objective' about Rob, he did pick up the Jets DST, but they were the worst DST started this week.  He could have completely given up, but he didn't, and I appreciate that.  The loss couldn't have happened to a more deserving guy though. This was easily the battle of ineptitude. (Original)

I know Matt likes Stranger Things (based on a 4 year old message in the chat), so I had it rewritten in Mike's voice as well as a scene from stranger things.

Mike Wheeler: Alright, so here’s the deal. Rob’s been tanking—like, on purpose—but this time? It totally backfired. I heard he picked up Likely as backup in case Andrews got hurt, but Andrews was fine, and then Likely played so well that Rob couldn’t drop him. So, he’s stuck with three starters out and nobody to drop. Meanwhile, Matt? He swoops in and grabs the last two kickers, including Moody, who scores 24 points! That was the move. Rob had no one scoring over 20 points, and it was basically the biggest screw-up ever. Total mess.

Scene: *Scene: The dim lights of Hawkins Middle School's gym flicker. The fantasy football showdown is in full swing, but something dark looms in the air.*

**Mike**: (voiceover) "Rob’s been playing the game like he knows something we don’t. He picks up Likely as backup—seems like a good move. But then Andrews doesn’t get hurt. Still, Likely’s too good to drop. Now, Rob’s got three starters out, and no one to bench. He’s trapped."

*In the distance, Matt, always one step ahead, picks up the last two kickers, locking Rob out of the points.*

**Dustin**: (pushing up his glasses) "Matt's playing like a Demogorgon on a mission."

*The scoreboard flickers: Moody, 24 points.*

**Mike**: "If Rob had picked up Moody, he would've won. But now... it’s over. Matt only had two 20+ point scorers—Mad Eye and the Saints defense. Rob? Zero. It’s like the Upside Down... nothing makes sense."

**Lucas**: (shaking his head) "Matt’s got six double-digit players, Rob only five. It’s a blowout. A battle of total incompetence."

*Cut to Rob staring at the Jets’ defense score—just a flicker of light in a sea of losses.*

**Mike**: (sighs) "He didn’t give up though. And that... I respect." 

*The screen goes dark. The loss sinks in. Rob walks away, the lights flickering behind him.*

Brandon vs Trevor:  This was easily the game of the week.  It was the bonanza, the nail-biter of the week, and had a little Monday Nightmare/Miracle going on.  It was close, but it looked like Trevor would sail to an easy victory with CMC and Breece going against Kittle Monday night, even though Trevor was behind a little after Kupp's Sunday night resurgence.  Unfortunately, late word of CMC being out made things a lot more intense for a while.  In the end Hall had a solid game and Kittle was meh enough on Brandon's team for Trevor to win as the #1 highest scoring team of the week beat the #2 highest scoring team of the week.  Brandon had 3 members of the 20+ point club (Richardson, Achane, and Kupp) while Trevor countered with two members of his own (Reed, and the Cowboys DST). Trevor had 7 players in double digits, while Brandon had 6, and only Trevor had one player score 5 or less (CMC late).  While Brandon showed himself a worthy contended this year, Trevor getting the high score of the week with the number 1 overall pick getting a goose egg on the bench puts an early target on his back as the team to beat this year.

Rewritten as Yoda: Game of the week, easily it was. A bonanza, a nail-biter, yes, with much Monday Nightmare energy it had. Close, it was, but Trevor, to victory seemed destined. CMC and Breece against Kittle on Monday, he had. But word, late, that CMC would not play, brought tension, yes. Yet Breece strong played, and Kittle’s "meh" performance sealed Trevor’s win. Highest scoring team, he was. Brandon fought well, with Richardson, Achane, and Kupp, 20+ points they had. Trevor, the team to beat now, he is. A target on his back, there is.

Rewritten as Kermit the Frog: *Hi-ho, everybody!* This was easily the game of the week! I mean, it had *everything*—a real nail-biter, with a little Monday Nightmare twist thrown in! Things were looking good for Trevor, with CMC and Breece Hall going up against Kittle Monday night. But oh no, news came in that CMC was out, and suddenly it got intense! Still, Hall pulled through, and Kittle’s "meh" performance helped Trevor snag the win. Both teams had big scorers, but Trevor’s squad just had a little more magic. Now, he’s the team to beat this year! *Yay!*

TJ vs Jordan: This game started out with TJ's kicker helping him take a light lead on Thursday night, followed by Jordan taking a huge lead thanks to Saquon on Friday night.  That lead got wider and wider Sunday morning, before TJ started to catch up Sunday afternoon and evening.  They each had a player on Monday Night, and thankfully for Jordan, Wilson did enough to overcome the 49ers DST.  This game shouldn't have been as close as it was, but Jordan is trying to be like Rob, and he didn't start a DST because he wanted to hold onto some players on the bench.  TJ only had 1 player in the 20+ crew (Diggs). Jordan decided to join him, and only had one player in that group.  The bigger difference in the outcome this game came down to Jordan have 6 players in double digits to TJ's 4.  Jordan also had more players (2) in the 5 and under category than TJ (1), but it wasn't enough to offset Saquon's big start to the season.

Rewritten from a gambling addicts perspective: Alright, listen up, because this one was a real rollercoaster, baby! TJ’s kicker started off with a little sprinkle of points on Thursday—no big deal, right? But then Friday night, Saquon exploded for Jordan, and I thought, "Oh man, I’m toast." But hey, come Sunday, TJ makes a comeback like he’s got the horseshoe up his...well, you know where. It all came down to Monday. Wilson? Saved Jordan. No DST? Bold, my friend. One player in the 20+? Fine. Double-digit players? Jordan had 6! I needed this win, man. I could feel the rush! Feels so good!

Rewritten as a if a game from the world series of poker (probably my least favorite rewrite): **INT. WORLD SERIES OF POKER - FINAL TABLE - NIGHT**

*The camera zooms in on the final two players at the World Series of Poker. TJ and Jordan are staring down their hands, the tension thick enough to cut with a knife. The dealer lays out the community cards, and the chips stack high in the center of the table.*

**ANNOUNCER:** (voice-over) Welcome back to the World Series of Poker, where tonight’s high-stakes game has been nothing short of a rollercoaster. Let’s break down how TJ and Jordan got here.

*Cut to FLASHBACK scenes of the game.*

**ANNOUNCER:** (voice-over) It all started on Thursday night. TJ’s kicker played a strategic hand, giving him a slight edge. But Jordan turned the tide on Friday night, thanks to Saquon, who delivered a massive lead. The game seemed to widen in Jordan's favor Sunday morning.

*Footage shows Jordan's confident smirk as he watches his chips pile up.*

**ANNOUNCER:** (voice-over) But TJ wasn’t going down without a fight. He clawed his way back into contention by Sunday afternoon and evening, turning the tables with a series of strategic plays.

*The scene shifts to the final moments of Monday night, where both players have a single card left to play.*

**ANNOUNCER:** (voice-over) On Monday night, both players had a final chance to make their move. Jordan had Wilson in play, and with some luck, he managed to outplay TJ’s 49ers DST. It was a nail-biter, given the way the game was unfolding.

*Close-up of Jordan’s relieved smile as the final hand is dealt.*

**ANNOUNCER:** (voice-over) Despite the close call, Jordan managed to emulate a bit of Rob’s strategy by holding back on the DST, a risky move that nearly backfired. TJ had only one player in the 20+ point crew—Diggs. Jordan matched him with just one player of his own in that high-stakes group.

*Cut to footage of Jordan’s and TJ’s chip stacks, highlighting the final tally.*

**ANNOUNCER:** (voice-over) The real game-changer? Jordan’s six players who scored in double digits versus TJ’s four. Jordan also had more players in the 5 and under category—two, to be exact—compared to TJ’s one. But it was Saquon’s explosive start that ultimately made the difference.

*The camera pans back to the poker table as Jordan pushes his chips forward, winning the hand.*

**ANNOUNCER:** (voice-over) And with that, Jordan emerges victorious. It was a close call, but he played his cards right and held on to win this high-stakes game. 

*The crowd erupts in applause as Jordan celebrates his hard-fought victory.*

Tyler vs Kyle:  The last game started out hot with both team's having their starting QB's in the Thursday night game.  Mahomes outdueled Jackson and got Tyler the early lead, but his TE and DST left a lot to be desired that night, while Kyle's Kicker was serviceable.  Kyle was able to claw back his lead thanks to Tyreek's Handcuff game, and Kamara finding a fountain of youth.  Once he took the lead, he never gave it back, though Tyler's 49ers on Monday night closed the game and helped this not be the blowout of the week.  Tyler only had Jackson who scored 20+ points, and Kyle had two in Kamara and Tyreek. Tyler had 5 guys in double digits, while Kyle had 6.  As far as 5 and under point games, Tyler had 4, and Kyle had 2.

Voice/Scene from Ron Swanson (my freebie queries ran out, so it was using some lower version?): **INT. RON SWANSON’S OFFICE - DAY**

*Ron Swanson sits at his desk, a pile of meat and a stack of paperwork in front of him. He speaks with his usual no-nonsense demeanor, a hint of disdain for anything less than excellence.*

**RON SWANSON:** Alright, listen up. The last game kicked off with both teams parading their starting quarterbacks on Thursday night. Mahomes outperformed Jackson and handed Tyler an early lead. However, Tyler’s tight end and defense were about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. Kyle’s kicker, though, was competent—barely.

*Ron takes a bite of his steak and continues.*

**RON SWANSON:** Kyle managed to claw his way back into the game with Tyreek’s impressive performance and Kamara rediscovering his prime form. Once Kyle took the lead, he wasn’t about to relinquish it. Tyler’s 49ers on Monday night did their best to close the gap, but this wasn’t the blowout of the century.

*Ron leans back in his chair, arms crossed.*

**RON SWANSON:** Tyler had Jackson as his sole 20+ point scorer, while Kyle had two—Kamara and Tyreek. Tyler had five players in double digits, whereas Kyle had six. In the realm of underperformers, Tyler had four in the 5 and under category, while Kyle managed to keep it to two. 

*Ron finishes his steak with a satisfied nod.*

**RON SWANSON:** That’s the breakdown. The game had its moments, but in the end, it’s a reminder that in the world of football, just like in life, you get what you put into it. And Kyle, evidently, put in more.


Award Season

MVP: Jayden Reed had the most points for the highest-scoring team in the closest-scoring game, so he walks away with the MVP of week 1

LVP: Rob for waiting to pick up a kicker, and letting Matt win because he got to Moody first.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: Brandon was the second-highest scorer of the week, but lost anyway.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Matt would have lost to 7 other teams this week, but luckily for him, he gets a bye in week 1 every year.  I might have to start rotating the conference game in the south to give Brandon and Trevor a bye week in week 1 some years.

Highest Scorer of the Week: Take a bow Dr. T-Rev and his sans CMC team

Lowest Scorer of the Week: It's Rob, Hi, he's the tanker, it's Rob. At week 1, everybody agrees. He'll stare at the lotto tickets on the bench but never at his starting roster, he's still chasing the high of finding Arian Foster.

King of the Court: Skyler won it from Brady in the championship last year, and has kept hold of it after battling Tommy. 

Other Shout Outs: Jordan should be at 97 career regular season wins, and Brady and Rob should be at 98. The race is on to be the second centurion in the league. Barring any major collapses, we should see all three hit 100 wins this year.

Game Previews

Skyler (2) vs Scott (11): Skyler has 2 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. Scott has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. A contender for the blowout of the week.

Tommy (8) vs Brady (4): Tommy has 0 players on Thursday and 5 players in primetime. Brady has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime.  This has Monday Nightmare/Miracle and nail-biter of the night written all over it.

Brandon (7) vs Matt (6): Brandon has 2 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. Matt has 1 player on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. A contender for the nail-biter of the week.

Rob (12) vs Trevor (1): Rob has 0 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. Trevor has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime.  The lead contender for the blowout of the week.

Tyler (9) vs TJ (10): Tyler has 0 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. TJ has 0 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime.  This is the front runner for the battle of ineptitude. A contender for the nail-biter of the week.

Jordan (5) vs Kyle (3): Jordan has 0 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. Kyle has 2 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. If we add up everyone's seed/standing, this is easily the front-runner for the bonanza and a contender for the nail-biter of the week.

Good luck to everyone but Scott this week.

Sunday, August 25, 2024

2024 Season Draft Recap

It's that time of year again when we shirk any husbandly, fatherly, and workly duties all in the name of eternal glory. Friends become enemies, Sundays become fun, and we all let a kid's game played by grown men ruin our week when our players get tackled at the 1-yard line.

The draft didn't take long to go off the rails, and it was crazy the whole way through.  This post is to let you all see how you did.  Unfortunately, due to our rule changes, people didn't draft complete teams, and it threw the rankings way out of wack.  But who cares, this post is tradition, and we all need to agonize over this year.  Except for Trevor, who has 2 of the top 3 running backs on his team and looks like an early favorite.

Behold, your draft grades!

TeamDraft GradeFootballGuys LinkHighMediumLowFantasyPros
SkylerEhttps://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/793daf03-808f-4515-a8c2-5d020c76170a?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport5530188
BradyFhttps://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/98d081e7-334f-4173-a632-d3d40092f23e?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport5530186
TommyB+https://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/5a6f779f-16ce-4aaa-a6ee-ebb03128197c?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport75604196
ScottAhttps://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/6888c211-6429-4afe-a80c-fb066039985b?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport858070100
MattDhttps://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/37d5d374-c581-44f3-bda0-5914f7a9c466?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport5530286
RobFhttps://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/c219702e-2017-4fd6-96f4-77df1447f00e?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport5530172
TrevorC-https://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/814c25d5-afda-47cc-8974-ed5474a33dd7?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport5530487
BrandonDhttps://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/f227f1d0-7dfc-4cb7-a84b-871f1767febd?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport5530282
JordanFhttps://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/21b4b4ec-1215-4345-ab55-09fc99b75ff2?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport5530176
TylerA-https://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/fd6175f2-5be9-4ebe-94c1-bdef3e546dbe?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport85756499
KyleChttps://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/4e8ed40b-8b87-4b2f-90cd-35c100ce00a5?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport60401493
TJB+https://fbgcloud.footballguys.com/ratemyteam/report/0b810cb6-f9c0-44b0-a4d1-f7961470ca7a?utm_source=copiedlink&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=sharedreport80705899

Also, a separate site that graded the league - https://fantasyfootballranker.com/league_rankings_nfl/?leagueId=721

Thursday, January 4, 2024

Week 17: The More Things Change, the More They Stay the Same

In a move that no one appreciated, Skyler won his 5th championship.  He beat Brady thanks to Lamar Jackson Dropping 46+ points.  Skyler led wire to wire with a strong start by the Cleveland DST, an MVP performance from Lamar, and mediocrity the rest of the day.  Brady and Skyler only had one player each in the 20+ point group, and that was their QB's.  Lamar outscored Allen by ~25 points and Skyler ended up winning by 31.

This championship caps off the 3rd panel of the trophy, and the first name on the 4th panel will begin next year.  In 7 years, we will need to find someone who can attach a wood base to expand our trophy.  So if any of you know some woodworkers, or want to change your career and need an excuse to get into woodworking, this seems like a great opportunity.

For the season recap, Rob set the single-season scoring record for total points, but Ren still holds the record on a per-game basis.  We have gone 6 straight seasons where a team has broken 200+ points in any week.  It only happened once in the first 8 seasons of the league.  No major scoring or roster changes have caused that (I don't think the key has been the ability to start a TE at flex, but maybe I'm wrong), so we'll assume we are getting better at this game as a league.

To put this championship in perspective, and just how lucky it was --  Skyler is the lowest seed (5 seed) to win a championship since former member Konner won it in 2012, also as a 5 seed. In fact, 2010 (Geoff), 2011 (Skyler), and 2012 (Konner) were all #5 seeds to win it all. Around half of all champions during our league finished below 1700 points (which includes Skyler this year), so from a raw data number, that isn't that shocking or lucky, though he is the first one to do it in the 14-game era. To provide context against competition each year, Skyler was the 7th highest scorer on the season this year. Geoff was the 9th best scorer in our first year, and I believe it was after that year we switched tiebreakers to 'points for' and away from 'head-to-head record'. After that time, only Tyler (also 7th highest) in 2013 has finished outside of the top 6 scorers and won the whole thing.  Skyler managed only 8 wins in the regular seasons -- the last time a champion had only 8 wins was Matt in 2016 -- but he had one fewer game to play than Skyler did this year.  The last time someone had a winning percentage below 60% and won the whole thing was Konner in 2012 when he went 7-6.  Skyler was also 8th in the breakdown (comparing everyone's weeks against each other, with the high scorer of the week being 11-0 and the bottom scorer being 0-11). It doesn't look possible to easily go back and find past breakdown information, but being 8th is probably on the lower end of champions.

For season aggregates, below are the winners of each category, based on the weekly totals.

Highest Scorer - Rob won this award 6 times this year

Lowest Scorer - Brandon and Matt split this award with 3 wins each, however, Matt has an asterisk for one of his as he picked up one of those awards in the semi-finals, so only 4 teams could have won awards that week.  

Lucky - Tyler ran away with this one and won it 4 times this year -- double the next closest teams.

Unlucky - There was a 3-way tie of teams who won the unlucky award 3 times this year. Jordan, Kyle, and Tommy each got it three times, with all of Jordan and Kyle's coming in the regular season, while Tommy had 2 in the regular season and one in the playoffs.

King of the Court - Matt held onto this award for 7 weeks this year.  He had it in two different runs.  He started out as king and held onto it for 3 weeks, and then won it back in week 12 and held onto it until he lost in week 16.  To correct a previous blog, Skyler was given the award on the week 7 write-up when it clearly went to Kyle. However, nothing came from that error as it was correctly awarded to Brady the following week in the write-up.

MVP: The Cowboys DST was listed twice, as was David Montgomery -- they were the only two players to be listed more than once as MVP.

Details of Awards Won.

If we take the season totals though, Rob is the highest-scoring team, Scott is the lowest-scoring team, Trevor is unluckiest from a missing the playoffs perspective as he was the 4th highest scorer, and Rob is the unluckiest on results as he was the highest scorer and best record but didn't win it all.  Skyler is the luckiest in both making the playoffs and winning it all.  Skyler also finished with King of the Court since he took it from Brady in the championship.  Trying to determine MVP and LVP is a little hard for the league -- so I won't try. Do we give it to someone like Puka or Kyren for being great values, do we give it to CMC for being great, even though he was picked at 1.01, or do we give it to someone like Lamar for being great in the playoffs?

I included a few images of the championship celebration


A few members of the fabled 'Five-Timers Club' celebrating their newest member. JT was especially happy about it.

Karma is the trophy coming home to me -- definitely looking like the 'It' couple of 2024.

Skyler taking a seat at the throne, ready to continue to rule with an iron fist.

On a more important note, next year's draft pick order is below

  1. Trevor
  2. Tyler
  3. Jordan
  4. Kyle
  5. Brandon
  6. Scott
  7. Tommy
  8. TJ
  9. Matt
  10. Rob
  11. Brady
  12. Skyler
We will reconvene on the draft pick picking shortly after Memorial Day.

Thursday, December 28, 2023

Week 16: Semi Final Madness

FantasyPros gave Matt a 51% chance of winning and Rob a 75%, which meant Brady had a 49% chance of winning, and Skyler 25%.  Based on the above numbers, the combined result we got over the weekend had a 12.25% of actually happening.

Game Recaps

Skyler (5) vs Rob (1): This game was the bonanza, the nail-biter, and the Monday Nightmare/Miracle. This game was less than a point away from combining for 300 points, and the separation between the two was less than 7 points. Each team had 4 people in the 20-point club (no 30-point explosions).  Skyler had only 2 people in the single-digit club, and Rob had 3, which certainly helped Skyler, but the biggest issue for Rob was that his Kicker and DST combined for 4 points, while Skyler's combined for 26.  Skyler's Monday Night trio combined for just under 51 points to complete the comeback and punch his ticket to the championship.

Brady (2) vs Matt (3): This game was supposed to be tighter, and of the two playoff games, this was technically the battle of ineptitude and the blowout of the week; however, given that the difference in the scores was still single digits, and the combined score was over 256, this game was not worth of those negative accolades. Both teams were affected by injury, with Matt losing Pacheco and Waddle during the game, and Brady losing Dontayvion "John 'Baba Yaga' Wick" Wicks. Both teams had two players in the 20-point club.  Brady had 4 people in the single-digit club, while Matt only had 2 in the single-digit.  The closeness might make more sense if we look at the 11-point cutoff, as they both had 5 people in that club. In the end, there is no clear-cut reason why Brady won, other than small 1-2 point advantages across the board.

Lucky: With 10 championships between these guys, no one will be called lucky this week.

Unlucky: Rob will win this award given that he was the Highest-scoring team this season, had the highest raw point total ever in a season, was the number 1 seed, and was the second highest-scoring team of the week.

MVP: There are a lot of candidates here, but no single standout player.  Several players had top 2-3 performances for the season at the right time.

LVP: Ignoring injuries -- the LVP will go to Butker and the Packers DST for scoring their season-low totals at the wrong time.

Highest Scorer: Skyler

Lowest Scorer: Matt

King of the Court: Brady takes it from Matt in the second to last week

Game Preview

Skyler (5) vs Brady (2): Let's be honest, no one cares about this week outside of Brady and Skyler.  Skyler winning his 5th would suck and Brady taking second in total championships with 3 would suck.  If there was an underdog who had never won before that people could rally behind, more of the league would care.

Skyler has 1 player on Thursday night, 0 players on Saturday night, 0 players on Sunday afternoon, and 1 player on Sunday Night Football. Brady has 0 players on Thursday night, 1 player on Saturday night, 2 players on Sunday afternoon, and 0 players on Sunday Night.

This is the first division matchup in a championship game, and as such, has the most played games and history between 2 teams.  For this season, Skyler went 2-0 head-to-head against Brady, but Brady would lead the season series 9-6 (that includes week 16 when both had a meaningful game, but not week 15 when Brady was on a bye and didn't start anyone). Lifetime, their head-to-head regular season record is 15 wins for Skyler and 13 wins for Brady. They have played each other twice in the playoffs, both having gone 1-1 (lifetime 16-14 for Skyler in meaningful games). Brady won their first playoff matchup (semi-finals) in 2018 -- the year he won the championship.  Skyler got revenge in 2021 in their playoff matchup (semi-finals) -- which was also the year he won a championship.  It seems fitting that the playoff tiebreaker will happen in the championship this year. 

Skyler is currently on a 2-game-win streak against Brady and is looking for his third 3+ game winning streak. Brady also has two 3 game-winning streaks against Skyler. 2023 was the 5th time Skyler swept the regular season against Brady. Brady has swept the regular season series against Skyler 4 times.  Only once have they met in the playoffs after a team swept the regular season.  Skyler swept in the 2018 regular season only for Brady to win when it really mattered.

Skyler is 4-0 in championship games, while Brady is 2-1 in championship games. Both teams have won 1 championship in the 2020s (Skyler 2021, Brady 2020), so whoever wins this will be the first team with 2 championships this decade, and will be the front-runner for the team of the half-decade (2010-2014, Skyler had 2 championships. 2015-2019 Rob had two championships. 2020-present, Brady and Skyler each have one)

This matchup is pretty even on weekly rankings.  For example, Josh Allen is ranked 3 on fantasy pros, and Lamar is ranked 4. They also have the top two kickers. Where the difference will likely come is on the bigger differences at RB, WR, TE, and DST.  As of this writing, both teams are starting 2 RB and 3 WR.  Given that balance, we will keep the analysis that way and not break out the flex separately.  According to FantasyPros, Brady's combined RB rank is at 22 while Skyler's rank is at 43.  At WR, Brady's combined rank is at 49, while Skyler's is at 28. Skyler's TE is 2 and Brady's is at 10.  Skyler's DST is 1, and Brady's is 8.  Those gaps aren't nothing for the TE and DST, but those positions usually don't put up a lot of points. The NFL projections have Skyler winning by 5-6, and the FantasyPros analysis has him winning at a 60% chance.  The projections seem reasonable given how close all the rankings are, but FantasyPros seems way too skewed. 

The last game of the week is Packers vs Vikings.  Skyler has 1 starter and 1 on the bench from that game, while Brady currently has 0 starters and 2 on the bench for that game.  If something happens midweek, perhaps those bench players get called up and make Sunday Night a little more exciting, but the odds are Skyler will be watching with a deficit and will be hoping whatever QB starts only targets JJ, while Brady will be watching with a lead, and hopes that the QB sucks and JJ is triple covered or gets hurt.  It should be for an intense night and someone is going to have a terrible New Year's Eve.

Best of luck to everyone in the consolation, or in the main playoff bracket except Brady.