Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Week 9: The Final Trimester

Our fantasy football regular season lasts 13 weeks.  If you break it up into 3 groups, you have weeks 1-4, 5-8, and 9-13, and we are going into that final group.  I decided to call it a trimester because I wanted to compare my fantasy season to her pregnancies.  Fortunately, she doesn't read this, so I won't be murdered for making the comparison.  The first little bit of the first trimester is exciting because it's a new season/child, but then there is a lot of throwing up because it's making you sick.  Sometimes the sick carries over into the start of the second trimester, but then you accept what's going on, and you start to feel better.  The last trimester is simply a lot of discomfort, pain, and hope that it ends sooner rather than later.  Anyway, like I said, I'm in my third trimester of this season and everything is pain and hope that the end is soon.

Game Recaps

Skyler vs Rob: Rob is on a hot streak as the highest scorer over the last two weeks.  I don't know if he is currently the scariest team in the league, but he's definitely on the shortlist of teams no one wants to see in the playoffs.  He won this week with 30+ points from Roethlisberger and Adams, and 25+ points from Kelce.  Skyler was let down by his whole team, but also by none of them -- when your standards are so low, you're happy when a player breaks double digits.

Matt vs Tommy: This game had a lot of back and forth for a while, but then Kyler, Juju, Fuller, and Metcalf all had a solid 20+ points and pulled away in the middle of Sunday.  Between a lot of really good games, and Tommy's QB leaving hurt, Tommy ended up losing by 35+ in the biggest blow out of the week.  To help you get an idea of how good Matt was this week, this was the biggest blow out of the week, but Tommy was the 4th highest scorer of the week.  The 1 vs 4 made this the weekly bonanza.  Add Matt to the shortlist of the scariest teams.

TJ vs Trevor: Hold on, I'm pulling up a previous write up. Week 6: It was all brought home as TJ's Monday Nightmare continues. Week 4: It's TJ and a Monday night though, so is anyone surprised? Week 1: This week has the distinction of being the Monday Night Miracle, and spoiler alert, it has TJ losing -- again.  I don't know anyone who hates Monday Night Football more than TJ.  And that's all just from this year.  I could have gone on, but why would you beat a dead horse?  Anyway, this was the weekly nail-biter, but at least the agonizing defeat happened before Monday.  Instead, TJ watched two of his players on Sunday night get him agonizingly close, only to fumble away the ball on the 2-yard line -- literally, that's what happened to his TE.  If he finds a way to score there, TJ would have won.  TJ was given a chance by getting 42 from Allen, but then also getting gut-punched by three of his players combining for 6.1 points.  In a game that came down to fewer than 5 points, that hurts.  Trevor eked out the win thanks to 33 from Tyreek Hill, and a couple of digit games (though no 20 point games).

Jordan vs Brandon:  This nearly got the weekly nail-biter, but as you saw up above, this match couldn't quite get there.  This nail-biter was finished before the Sunday night game, so I guess that gave Jordan more time to heal? The gut-punch this game is Jordan starting C0rey Davis while two WR on his bench scored 23+ points each. Brandon snuck out the win with help from Chef Russ and Steffon Diggs both going for 20+.  This was far and away the battle of ineptitude as Brandon was the 10th highest scorer, and Jordan was the 12th highest scorer.

Tyler vs Brady: In the battle of barely in the playoffs, Brady beat down Tyler by 30 points.  Over 1/3 of Tyler's 101 points came from A-a-ron Rod-gers on Thursday night, but the Rodgers rate wasn't enough to get Tyler the win.  Tyler did win the Zeke vs JTT match, but only because Brady sat JTT. This game was narrow going into Monday night (Brady led by 10), but Brees put Brady ahead by more than Evans and Gronk could score. This loss puts Tyler out of the playoffs thanks to Matt's win and scoring margin. Since 4-5 is fighting for the playoffs, maybe the three 2-7 teams still have a shot?  HAHAHA, just kidding.  Back to this match Brady's 3 WR combined for over 65 points in support of Brees.

Kyle vs Chad: Chad needed to win to keep pace with Trevor, and win he did, by 30 points.  His scoring margin over Trevor means he moves into second based on points (though he was already the second seed based on how the league works). Chad got this all-important win by getting 75+ points from Mahomes and Cook.  This is back to back weeks where they carried his team.  Chad had meh to solid weeks from everyone else on his team.  He is probably the third and final team of scary teams no one wants to see in the playoffs.  That being said, we are still several weeks away, so perhaps all 3 teams cool down. Kyle got Run CMC back, with a whopping 37 points, and another 18 from Derek Carr -- for a combined 55 points.  Unfortunately, the other 7 starters combined for 55 points and let Kyle down.

Award Season

Pick 'em: Tyler beat Tommy 11-8 this week.  Everyone else has continued to give up.

Highest Scorer of the Week: Matt eliminated any chance of getting unlucky by making sure no one could beat him.

Lowest Scorer of the Week: Jordan was 2 passing yards away from scoring under 100 this week.

Luckiest Team of the Week:  Brandon was the 3rd lowest scorer of the week, but still got the win.  He is especially lucky as a loss would have put him even with Chad on record, and only up 3 points for the one seed.

Unluckiest Team of the Week:  Tommy was the 4th highest scorer, but walked a way with the loss.

MVP: In the nail-biter of the week, Tyreek Hill helped Trevor win and overcome a 42 point shot from Jared Allen by scoring 33 points of his own and getting Trevor the 4 point win.  It wasn't the biggest performance of the week, but it was the clutchest performance of the week.

LVP: C0rey Davis let Jordan down big time.  Corey Davis is averaging a shade under 14 points a week.  He could have scored half of his average, and Jordan would have snuck out the win.

Game Previews

Skyler (12) vs TJ (10): Skyler has one player on Thursday night and one player in primetime. He has no players on bye. TJ has no players on Thursday night and no players in primetime. He has no players on bye. This is one of the two front runners for the battle of ineptitude.

Jordan (9) vs Tommy (11): Jordan has no players on Thursday night and three players in primetime. He has one player on bye. Tommy has no players on Thursday night and no players in primetime. He has one player on bye. This is one of the two front runners for the battle of ineptitude.

Matt (6) vs Chad (2): Matt has no players on Thursday night and no players in primetime. He has two players on bye. Chad has no players on Thursday night and one player in primetime. He has three players on bye. This is one of the three candidates for the bonanza.

Rob (8) vs Brady (4): Rob has no players on Thursday night and no players in primetime. He has three players on bye. Brady has one player on Thursday night and one players in primetime. He has one player on bye.

Brandon (1) vs Tyler (7): Brandon has one player on Thursday night and two players in primetime. He has no players on bye. Tyler has no players on Thursday night and no players in primetime. He has two players on bye. This is one of the three candidates for the bonanza.

Trevor (3) vs Kyle (5): Trevor has two players on Thursday night and no players in primetime. He has one player on bye. Kyle has no players on Thursday night and four players in primetime. He has no players on bye. This is one of the three candidates for the bonanza. This is the matchup with most players in primetime (4) which gives this game the biggest chance to end up as the nail-biter and/or Monday nightmare/miracle.

Playoff Previews

If the 6 seed/lowest wild card team gets to 5 wins this week, anyone with 2 wins (after week 10) will have less than 0.1% chance to make the playoffs.  There are 3 teams currently at 4-5.  Matt or Rob (two of the 4-5 teams) will eventually get another win as they play each other in the division rematches.  If they both win this week, one of them is guaranteed 6 wins, which a 2-8 team can't match.  There is a scenario where Rob, Matt, and Tyler all end up with 5 wins, and some 2-8 team can come back and tie them on record, and then in that process, outscore everyone by 100 points a week, and then eventually catch up on tie-breaker, but let's be real -- its not happening.  For the loser of TJ/Skyler to make the playoffs, they will need a modern day miracle.  

There are three 2-7 teams -- TJ, Skyler, and Tommy.  TJ and Skyler play each other this week, and Tommy and Skyler play each other next week. So much ineptitude.  Back to the playoffs.

With losses from Matt (who plays Chad), Rob, and Tyler (who plays Brandon), Brandon and Chad will officially clinch the playoffs.  A lot of teams right now could still get to 8 wins and somehow pass Brandon on tie-breaker if he loses out, or could pass Chad if he loses out and only hit 7 wins.  The odds of those scenarios happening are also less than 0.1%.

Realistically, every game has major implications this week with seedings -- outside of Skyler/TJ and Tommy/Jordan. 

So best of luck to everyone, except TJ this week.  Since I'm not hoping for playoffs, I'm hoping for the most fun/chaotic story lines.

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