Sunday, December 30, 2018

Week 16: A week late, but worth the wait?

Last Sunday was championship Sunday, but I was driving for about 11 hours that day, and wasn't able to write a post about it.  The next day was Christmas Eve, and then Christmas, and the day after that I more or less forgot/had a few minor plans.

Brady ended up winning by 9 points, and had to sweat out Sunday night as Mahomes and Carson tried to bring Matt back to victory.  Brady was led by his stalwarts that he depended on all year long: Damian Williams, Jamaal Williams, and Kirk Cousins -- and by that I mean Kirk Cousins had 7 starts, D Williams had 2 starts and J Williams had 2 starts.

Matt was letdown by Gronk, he got 0 points (the 4th time he did that this year, not sure how many of them he was healthy for, and I don't care enough to check).  Otherwise, his team was solid.  Gronk getting his average this year (7.9 points) wouldn't have been enough to get Matt the win, so maybe that will give him some solace. 

I had Jocelyn occasionally check the score for me while we were driving, but I didn't have her check the rosters.  Before we left for the day, Matt had Jordy Nelson in his starting lineup, so when I saw that Brady was down 9 at the end of the day, I thought he would have to suffer through Monday night football, but then she noted how all of Matt's players had played and Brady had won.  I think I missed something like 60 group messages on WhatsApp.  Congrats to Brady on winning his first championship, and keeping Matt from being a two-time champion.

The draft order will be as follows: Ren, Up N Atoms*, TJ, Trevor, Rob, I am Batman**, Kyle, Tyler, Jordan, Skyler, Matt, Brady.

*This will be Tommy's team if Chad comes back, if Chad does not come back, it will be the new persons' draft spot.
** This will be Tommy's team if Chad does not come back.  If Chad comes back, this is his spot.

Now I will write my year in review, so if you don't want to read even more self-congratulations, feel free to leave now.

This season, I was in 5 leagues, I made the playoffs in all 5 of them.  I made the semifinals in 4 leagues (I missed the semifinals in my money/auction league), I made the championship game in 2 of my leagues (missed out on my brother's league as well as my main league that this blog post is about), and I won one championship (I lost the championship in the reddit league where the winner gets promoted, and I won in my dynasty league which was a 2 week game over week 16 and 17).

I got blown out in the reddit league, so I had no chance there. I got blown out in my money/auction league, so I had no chance there.  I made some dumb choices (like believing in Gronk) in my brother's league, but I had a chance there.  Had Keenan Allen not gotten hurt in the semifinals where I lost to Brady, and assuming Allen would have hit his season average (17 points -- which I believe would have happened given that Mike Williams scored 36 points that night), I would have beaten Matt in the championship game -- I swear I won't be bitter about that for years.  I won my dynasty league with some luck in that my opponent left Antonio Brown on his bench this week.  I also benefitted by big scores in my second weeks in both games since I was behind in week one in both of my matchups.

Now that all of fantasy is over, I will look forward to having fewer podcasts in my life.  Not that I don't enjoy them, but they were taking a lot of time, and for only 1 championship, I'm not sure it was worth all of the time.

Congrats to Brady on the championship, and everyone else on the fun season.  In a few months I will reach out about finding a replacement for Chad if he doesn't want back in, as well as a few potential rule changes, and picking draft pick orders.  Good season, and good night.

Wednesday, December 19, 2018

Week 15: And Then There Were Two

I won't bury the lead.  I lost, and I hate it.  Ekeler and Ware ended up not playing, which led to Brady being able to start Damian Williams -- who went off for a measly 30.30 points.  I also had Keenan Allen get hurt early on -- before he even scored a point.  Gurley did his best to get me back in the game, but it was to no avail.  The guys from Monday night let me down. Ugh.  I'll get over it.

The other game (Matt vs. Jordan) followed the path of last week's games, and Matt blew out Jordan.  Derrick Henry had another great week, Deandre Hopkins, Chris Carson, his DST, and his Kicker had their best games of the year.

So this next week is the runner-up from last year (Brady) vs. the champion from two years ago (Matt).  They are both making their second finals appearance. **Warning, ego boost eminent**  If Matt wins he will be only the second person to have his name on the trophy more than once (guess who the multi-champion person is). If Brady wins, he will become the 9th different person to win the title -- people already on the trophy include Kyle*, Jordan**, Geoff, Skyler, Konner, Tyler, Matt, and Rob.

* - Pre-mission, with no proof that it happened.
** - Pre-mission, managed by Matt because Jordan left on his mission right before the playoffs started.

Looking forward to the championship matchup, the projections give Matt an edge (130.93 to 124.07), and FantasyPros (who does their power rankings on a scale from 1-100) give Matt a 100 (first for the week) and Brady an 87 (third for the week).  I sadly must agree with both sites, and I, unfortunately, have to give the edge to Matt.  Brady only has two matchups where he has the clear advantages, which are the WR2 (Cooks over Davis), and the TE (Kittle over Gronk), though if Gronk outscored Kittle, no one would be shocked.  The WR1 matchup (Julio vs Hopkins) is a push, and matchups like Kicker and DST are always a crapshoot, but the other matchups all favor Matt.  I hope I'm wrong, but it's a lot for Brady to overcome.

For the record, I am cheering for Brady for 3 reasons.  1) I want to be the only person to win multiple championships, 2) Brady is in my division, which needs more champions, and 3) Brady is family, so he gets my support.

Back to the matchup -- No one has anyone playing on Monday night, which is also Christmas Eve, so no one will have their Christmas Eve ruined by losing.  Sunday night features the Chiefs vs the Seahawks.  Matt has Mahomes and Carson playing that night, and Brady has Damian Williams.  Matt also has two guys playing on Saturday, while Brady only has one.  Matt has all of his other players playing in the early Sunday game, while Brady has two players playing in the Sunday afternoon games.  So the matchup will probably Start with Matt in the lead Saturday, and Sunday through the morning games, with Brady taking the lead back Sunday afternoon, and then battle it out on Sunday Night Football.

It should be a fun day of fantasy for the rest of us, but I will be driving all that day, so don't expect a season recap that night.

Best of luck everyone, let's hope there won't be any season crushing injuries, and let's hope the game goes down to the wire.

Monday, December 10, 2018

Week 14: Round One -- Snoozefest

What started out looking like some good opening matches for the first round of the playoffs, ended up being blowouts that were decided before Sunday Night Football.  Brady beat Tyler by almost 40, and Matt beat Kyle by about 50 (guesstimate based on what Carson may get).  So no real upsets in round 1 (at least based on seeding).

Brady vs Tyler:  This game was defined by the Tight Ends.  Kittle scored 34 points (career high) for Brady, while Ertz got 8.8 points (second lowest on the season) for Tyler.  Tyler was also let down by his DST who had scored 22 points two weeks in a row.  Brady also benefited from solid work by Joe Mixon, and from Julio Jones best game of the season.  Brady will play Skyler next week.

Kyle vs Matt:  The best way to summarize Kyle's team this week was to say his best scorer was his defense, and they scored him 22 points this week, and that he is next highest scorer was under 16 points.  Matt had 4 people (including his defense) match or beat 22 points this week, including season highs from Gronk as well as the Giants.  Interesting tidbit about the Giants -- from weeks 1-12 they totaled 50 points.  In weeks 13 and 14 they have totaled 40 points.  Matt will play Jordan next week.

As far as consolation bracket goes, Trevor put the hammer down on Rob in what was the highest scoring game of the week.  Had they been in the playoffs, those teams would have done some damage.  On the other side of the consolation bracket, TJ and Tommy had the lowest scoring game of the week, and TJ makes it through to advance to the next round.

No awards will be given this week as it is the playoffs, and the time for participation trophies has ended.  It is win or go home.

In preparation for the Semi-Finals, here is a breakdown of each matchup.

Jordan vs Matt

  • Record
    • Jordan 8-5
    • Matt 6-7
  • Seed
    • Jordan #2
    • Matt #3
  • Regular season points
    • Jordan 1696.26
    • Matt 1757.88
  • Actual head to head record this season (week 7)
    • Jordan 1 (158.70)
    • Matt 0 (147.02) 
  • Wins had they played each other exclusively this season:
    • Jordan 6 (If Wilson scores 20.18 more than Carson tonight, this will be 7-7)
    • Matt 8
  • All-time wins between the two against each other in the regular season
    • Jordan 5
    • Matt 4
  • Wins between the two against each other in the playoffs
    • First time meeting in playoffs
  • Playoff appearances
    • Jordan 6
    • Matt 5
  • All-time playoff wins
    • Jordan 2
    • Matt 4
  • All-time semi-finals appearances
    • Jordan 4
    • Matt 3
  • Last semi-final appearance
    • Jordan 2016
    • Matt 2016
  • All-time championship appearances*
    • Jordan 1
    • Matt 1
  • Last championship appearance*
    • Jordan 2007
    • Matt 2016
  • Number of championships*
    • These jokes just write themselves
      • Jordan 0.5
      • Matt 1.5
* Information from before 2010 was included

I normally don't include Thursday Night Football as a primetime game, but I will this week because it is the Chiefs vs the Chargers, and it should be fun and a good game.  And since I'm bending that rule, I will also include the Saturday night game between the Broncos and the Browns, even though it won't be as good.  So that means "primetime" games include Thursday night, Saturday, Sunday night, and Monday night.

Jordan has several players that could be part of the primetime games, but it depends if Hill is healthy enough (currently day to do) and if he wants to bring Mayfield or Jeffrey off of the bench.  Matt has two players in his starting lineup that will have a primetime game, and maybe a 3rd if he wants to bring Conley off of the bench.  Both could have someone in the Sunday night game, but neither have anyone from the Monday night game as of this writing.


Skyler vs Brady

  • Record
    • Skyler 10-3
    • Brady 9-4
  • Seed
    • Skyler #1
    • Brady #4
  • Regular season points
    • Skyler 1805.64
    • Brady 1800.24
  • Actual head to head record this season (weeks 3 and 13)
    • Skyler 2
    • Brady 0
  • Wins had they played each other exclusively this season:
    • Skyler 7
    • Brady 7
  • All-time wins between the two against each other in the regular season
    • Skyler 11
    • Brady 7
  • Wins between the two against each other in the playoffs
    • First time meeting in playoffs
  • Playoff appearances
    • Skyler 8
    • Brady 3
  • All-time playoff wins
    • Skyler 9
    • Brady 2
  • All-time semifinals appearances
    • Skyler 7
    • Brady 2
  • Last semi-finals appearance
    • Skyler 2015
    • Brady 2017
  • All-time championship appearances
    • Skyler 3
    • Brady 1
  • Last championship appearance
    • Skyler 2015
    • Brady 2017
  • Number of championships
    • Skyler 3
    • Brady 0
Skyler has up to 7 players in primetime games (depending on injuries and matchups) and has a kicker and a running back (Ingram) on Monday night.  Brady has 3 players who could play in primetime, the latest being Woods on Sunday night.

Tuesday, December 4, 2018

Week 13 and Regular Season Awards

Time for the weekly awards that I didn't get done earlier in the week, and a few other thoughts as well.

High Scorer of the Week:  Matt wins this award over Jordan by .06 and scored a solid 152.00 on the week.

Low Scorer of the Week:  TJ had a week to forget, scoring a paltry 61.34, which was the lowest score of any team for the year.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Kyle gets this award this week.  Kyle "beat the pants off [TJ]" (not my wording, but I laughed), but he wins the award because he needed Tommy to lose to Konner, and Tommy lost by .24, which allowed Kyle to make the playoffs.

Unluckiest Team of the Week:  This is a two-part award this week.  Tommy wins the first part for missing out on the playoffs by .24, which in part comes from Fournette being suspended for the week.  The long-term unluckiest team of the week goes to Brady for losing Kareem Hunt for the playoffs this week. 

A few interesting trade notes now that the regular season is over.  
  • Obviously, we never know about injury or suspensions, but Tommy is now the clear winner of the Hunt/White trade (it was still close before the suspension).  
  • The Gurley/Allen for Zeke/Deandre trade has appeared like a win for Matt and Skyler.  
    • The first two games results (weeks 11 and 12) wouldn't have changed for Skyler, but he got the win this week because of the trade.  
    • The same can be said of weeks 12 and 13 for Matt, but he got the win week 11 because of the trade. 
    • Even though each team ended up with an extra win because of the trade, the players' combined points net out to Matt ending up with 2.5-3 extra points (however, that is with a Gurley bye, so it's 6 games to 5 games).
  • The Shepard/Kerryon for AJ Green trade between TJ and Skyler appears to have been a lose/lose.  The Shepard/Kerryon combo got TJ about 66 points, but he went 0-4 during that run, and AJ Green never got Skyler any points because he never got healthy enough to play.
  • Kareem Hunt played 1 game for Kyle, 4 games for Skyler, 6 games for Tommy, and 0 games for Brady (his 2 weeks on the team included a bye week and a suspension).  
    • His averages by team
      • Kyle: 4.9
      • Skyler: 18.58
      • Tommy: 25.17
      • Brady: 0
Now for some end of season awards.

Highest Scorer of the Year:  Skyler edges out Brady by 5.4 points to win this award.

Lowest Scorer of the Year: TJ gets this award after a terrible last week.  If TJ had hit his average this week, he wouldn't have won this award.

Luckiest Team of the Year:  I mentioned above how TJ wouldn't have won lowest scorer of the year had he had an average week.  Had he hit his average, Kyle would have been the lowest scorer of the year.  Instead, he is only the 2nd lowest scorer of the year, but he still made the playoffs somehow, so he wins Luckiest Team of the Year.  I want to keep making fun of Kyle, but he wasn't even the worst team to make the playoffs.  That distinction belongs to Tyler in 2014 for having the least points in the league, but still making the playoffs.  

Below are the *luckiest* teams each year, a.k.a. the lowest scorer to make the playoffs, and their position for the year.
YearLowest scorer to make the playoffsLowest position
2010Matt9
2011Jordan6
2012Chad11
2013Jordan9
2014Tyler12
2015Matt6
2016Jordan6
2017Tyler6
2018Kyle11
So we were on a solid streak of the 6th best scorer being the lowest scorer to make the playoffs 3 years in a row.

Unluckiest Team of the Year: Rob wins the award for the year because of his breakdown score.  If you look on the main page and go to breakdown, Rob finished 6th best on the year, and everyone who finished ahead of him made the playoffs, plus he was the 7th leading scorer of the year, which wouldn't be a stretch for the 7th highest scorer to make the playoffs.  Rob got really unlucky in his quest to go back to back.

Worst preseason cut: Kyle for James Conner
Best preseason garbage collection (cut by someone else) pickup: Skyler for James Conner
Best preseason diamond in the rough (undrafted waiver wire) pickup: Brady for James White. 

Worst in season cut: Skyler for Tarik Cohen
Best in season garbage collection pickup: Jordan for Tarik Cohen
Best in season diamond in the rough pickup: I thought this was going to go to Kyle for Phillip Lindsay, but Tyler Boyd has actually outscored him, so Trevor wins the award with Tyler Boyd.  Rob was also in consideration with Kenny Golladay.

Best 1st round pick: It would be easy to say Matt with Gurley, but this will go to Trevor for Saquon, who is the #2 flex player on the year (25.3 points behind Gurley), but is a rookie and was taken 4 spots later.

Worst 1st round pick: Kyle taking Bell #1 overall is the clear winner because he never saw the field, but Geoff with David Johnson is a good second because he was a major disappointment this year.

Best later-round pick: Matt with Mahomes in the 12th -- who was taken 1 round after he took a kicker, 2 rounds after he took Baker Mayfield, and 3 rounds after the Jags D, and was his 3rd QB because he also drafted Rodgers in the 3rd round.  I was going to write how unlucky Matt was with Mahomes and Gurley and it's amazing he didn't finish higher, but now I think I know why.

Other interesting notes:

Thanks to Kyle making the playoffs with Phillip Lindsay, it has now been 7 out of 9 years that the person with the worst record in the first week/first waiver claim makes the playoffs.  Maybe Lindsay should have been the pickup of the year.

Some information on how the bracket shakes out -- the upper bracket has a combined 26 wins with 5345.62 points, the lower bracket split is 21/5015.26 with a difference of 5/329.8.  To make it easier to read I'll put that information below in bullet points, with 2 other bracket layouts and their differences.  Positive numbers mean the numbers in the upper bracket (the bracket with the 1 seed) are higher, and negative means lower.
  • Current setup difference of 5 wins and 329.8 points
  • Don't give division winner 3 seed would have a difference of -1 win and 245.28 points
    • This would be the scenario where Matt doesn't automatically get the 3 seed if he doesn't earn it.  It would still give the bye/2 seed to the 2nd best division winner.
  • True 1-6 ranking difference of 1 win and -147.52 points
    • This would seed the top 6 seed according to the actual standings.
So we might want to reconsider how we seed the playoffs because the upper bracket is more loaded than the lower bracket.

While doing that analysis about bracket breakdown, it came to my attention that Matt is the 3rd highest scorer in the league, and the highest scorer on that side of the bracket, so he might actually have a real shot to make it out of that bracket, even though we made fun of the south division all year.

Now for the playoff previews:

Matt vs Kyle: Before the James Conner news, I wanted to give Kyle the edge, but that is a big loss for him.  FantasyPros has a feature that looks at each team, their players, and their matchups and gives the team a score between 0-100 for the week.  This week Matt's score is 91, and Kyle's score is 69.  Matt has the latest player playing (assuming Carson is healthy) on Monday night, so Kyle will have to sweat this one out most likely.

Brady vs Tyler: Losing Kareem Hunt last week did a number on Brady's playoff outlook, but he should still have a decent chance this week.  The score is projected to be within 2 points on nfl.com, and FantasyPros has them both ranked at an 83 for the week, so it should be a good match for those of us not involved or getting stressed out with the results.  As of this moment, Tyler has a WR in the Monday night game (though that could change, Tyler might play someone else at the flex), and Brady has a kicker in the Monday night game.  Brady also has an important WR in the Sunday night game, so if Tyler chooses to bench Moore (his Monday night WR), Tyler will have to sweat out the results through 2 nights.  That sucks and is one way to make sure you are stressed longer than you need to be.

Good luck to anyone and everyone next week.  I don't play, so I don't really care how you do.  All I know is whoever I play between Brady or Tyler, I will have my hands full.

Sunday, December 2, 2018

Week 13: Final Playoff Standings

I know the title is asking for a jinx, but I'm not worried about it at this point.

Skyler vs Brady:  Skyler will get the win, and the 1 seed, while Brady finishes with the 4 seed.

Tommy vs Konner:  In the heartbreaker of the night, Tommy misses out on the playoffs by .24 points.  If Big Ben would have thrown it for 7 fewer yards, Tommy would have won and made the playoffs.  Because Kyle won (spoiler alert), this loss eliminates Tommy from the playoffs

Matt vs Trevor:  Matt gets the win and gets to 6 wins -- Ren loses, which means they are tied on record, but Matt gets in on tiebreaker.  He gets the 3 seed.

Ren vs Rob:  Rob gets the win, which put Ren in a bad place, and Matt and Kyle winning finished him off.

Kyle vs TJ:  Kyle blows out TJ, and combined with Tommy losing, Kyle gets back into the playoffs (6 seed) after dropping out the last few weeks.

Jordan vs Tyler:  Jordan gets the win and the 2 seed.  Tyler loses and will get the 5 seed.

3 seed (Matt) plays 6 seed (Kyle) next week, and the winner will play against the number 2 seed (Jordan) the week after.

4 seed (Brady) plays 5 seed (Tyler) next week, and the winner will play against the number 1 seed (Skyler) the week after.

Thanks everyone for the great regular season.  I will hand out the "awards" in a post tomorrow, as well as look at the playoff previews, but I wanted to do the standings post tonight.

Monday, November 26, 2018

Week 12 part 2: Playoff Scenarios

To see the first post of the week, click here.  Now that things are final, here are some awards for this last week.

Highest Scorer of the Week: This one goes to Tyler.  I'm glad he got this because he deserved something good to happen to him this week.  I mean he had a rough week where he had to deal with BYU leading Utah for a whole half.  What a rough life.

Low Scorer of the Week: TJ gets this award on the week he could least afford it.  Sorry for your loss TJ, best of luck in the consolation bracket.

Luckiest Team of the Week:  The University of Utah.  The winner this week is Jordan for being the 10th highest scorer, but playing the 11th highest scorer.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: Matt is the winner this week, but he doesn't have the strongest case.  I suppose he is unlucky to lose by 6, but he mostly gets this award because he finished in 6th and still lost.

Here are the matchups, and some of their playoff implications.

Skyler vs Brady: This matchup is for the #1 seed.  Loser gets the #4 seed.  There are a couple of primetime players for Skyler, none for Brady (he is on the defense about a DST) so this will be a match that requires some waiting.

Tommy vs Koko:  As of this moment, Tommy is in the playoffs, and Konner is simply hoping to make it in.  They are both fighting for the 6th spot.  They both can't make it.  It should be a fun matchup.  They both have a player on the Steelers (Sunday night game) so it will go into Sunday Night for this game to be decided.

Trevor vs Matt:  Both are tied at 5-7, looking up at Ren for the division lead.  The winner could miss on the division if Ren wins, but they could still get the wildcard.  More on that later.  Trevor has someone on Sunday night while Matt has someone on Monday night.  This will be another wait it out game.

Ren vs Rob:  Ren has the inside track on winning his division and the 3 seed since he has a 1 game lead over both of them.  However, he is in the middle of them on points, so if he loses, he is in trouble, though he could still get a wildcard spot.  Rob has a lot of mid-Sunday games, as well as a game on Sunday night and Monday night.  Ren will be sweating this one out, but if he wins, he is golden.

Kyle vs TJ: With the loss this week, Kyle has moved out of the playoffs and into the 7th seed.  A win won't guarantee Kyle a win (if Tommy also won it would keep him ahead of Kyle), but if he doesn't win, he will be eliminated.  Kyle has two guys who are playing in primetime, while TJ has a DST playing on Sunday night, so this one will also go down to the wire as well.

Tyler vs Jordan:  This matchup is for the #2 seed.  Loser gets the #5 seed.  Tyler for sure has one late primetime player (possibly more based on his bench players).  Jordan has at least two late primetime players (possibly more based on his bench players).  It seems like every game is going late this week, and this one is no exception.

Now a player by player breakdown for how people can make or miss the playoffs.  I don't always include something like "maintain tiebreaker" or "lose tiebreaker", but those things matter for a decent amount of scenarios.

Skyler:

  • #1 seed: 
    • Win
  • #4 seed: 
    • Lose

Brady:

  • #1 seed: 
    • Win
  • #4 seed: 
    • Lose

Tyler:

  • #2 seed: 
    • Win
  • #5 seed: 
    • Lose
  • #6 seed or out of the playoffs: 
    • Lose AND Tommy win and Kyle win AND then lose on tiebreaker.  There is less than 1% chance of happening.

Jordan:

  • #2 seed: 
    • Win
  • #5 seed: 
    • Lose
  • #6 seed or out of the playoffs: 
    • Lose AND Tommy win AND Kyle win AND then lose on tiebreaker.  There is less than 1% chance of happening.

Ren:

  • #3 seed: 
    • Win OR
    • Lose AND outscore the winner of Trevor or Matt by enough to win on Tie Breaker
  • #6 seed:
    • Lose AND Tommy lose AND Kyle lose.
  • Out: 
    • Lose AND Tommy OR Kyle win.
Tommy:
  • #5 seed:
    • Win AND outscore loser of Tyler/Jordan by enough to pass on tiebreaker
  • #6 seed:
    • Win AND maintain tiebreaker of points OR
    • Lose AND Kyle lose AND score enough points to Ren and winner of Matt/Trevor
  • Out:
    • Lose AND lose out on tiebreaker
Kyle:
  •  #6 seed:
    • Win AND Tommy win AND score enough to pass Tommy on tiebreaker OR
    • Win AND Tommy lose OR
    • Lose AND maintain or gain tiebreaker over other 6-7 teams
  • Out:
    • Lose AND Tommy win OR
    • Lose AND Tommy lose AND tiebreaker does not go his way
Matt:

  • #3 seed: 
    • Win AND Ren loss, and maintain tiebreaker
  • #6 seed:
    • Win AND Ren win AND Tommy lose AND Kyle lose AND tiebreaker doesn't change
  • Out:
    • Lose OR
    • Win AND lose out on tiebreaker (not likely given his lead)

Trevor:
  • #3 seed:
    • Win AND Ren lose AND maintain tiebreaker
  • #6 seed:
    • Win AND Ren win AND Tommy lose AND Kyle lose AND maintain tiebreaker
  • Out:
    • Lose
Konner:
  • #6 seed:
    • Win AND gain tiebreaker over winner of Trevor/Matt AND Tommy lose and Kyle lose
  • Out: 
    • Win AND Kyle win OR not have tiebreaker over Trevor/Matt winner OR
    • Lose
Rob:

  • Out:
    • All - but can still mess with people
TJ:

  • Out:
    • All - but can still mess with people


Please text me if you have any questions, or if you think of a scenario that is not found here.  Best of luck to everyone not named Brady during our rivalry week.

Week 12: Fantasy Football is Much Less Depressing Than Being a BYU Fan

Another week, another title that has nothing to do with the majority of my post.  I just want to vent how much college football hurts my heart compared to fantasy football -- and this is after losing to Tommy (a Ute fan) this week.

Skyler vs Tommy:  This loss hurts for 3 reasons: 1) Skyler lost, 2) Skyler lost because the Titans didn't do enough to keep the Texans from scoring points (sure this is unrealistic to expect your favorite team to keep a fantasy defense to 0 points or less, but still) 3) Tommy is a Ute fan.  This loss puts Skyler back into 2nd place behind Brady (on points).  The win puts Tommy into 6th place with Kyle moving to 7th (behind on points).

Brady vs Konner: Brady wins and moves back into first place.  The loss drops Konner to 10th, but he is still in playoff contention, but it is a steep hill to climb.

Matt vs Ren:  This is the only game that will still be decided on Monday night.  Matt needs DeAndre Hopkins to score 18.7 to beat Ren, which is entirely possible.  In fact, half of his games have gone over 18.7 -- which means that half have also gone under.  The winner will take the lead for the division title (aka 3rd seed), and for 5th place overall, the loser will be at 5-7 with a few others, and each tiebreaker is different, so I won't' get into that right now.  I previously stated in WhatsApp that the South winner still had a chance at the 2 seed, but that is impossible.  I didn't realize that Tyler and Jordan play each other next week, meaning one of them is guaranteed to get to 8 wins (they will be at 7 wins after this week), which the South champion cannot match.  Currently, Ren is still winning, which gives Trevor a shot to win the division next week.  If Matt wins, Trevor's playoff hopes are essentially gone (I suppose outscoring someone by 60 in one week is possible, but it's not something you want to count on).

Trevor vs Rob:  Trevor went and just destroyed this week in order to keep his playoff hopes alive.  If he scores 180+ again, he could just sneak in, which would be a great story.

TJ vs Tyler:  In a week where TJ needed a lot of help to stay alive, his team didn't show up.  Tyler gets the easy win, and holds onto his division lead.

Kyle vs Jordan:  Kyle loses this one because Dion Lewis isn't capable of scoring 40 points for fantasy purposes -- and as a Titans fan I would love it if he could.  The loss puts Kyle out of the playoffs (tied with Konner on record, but behind on 65 points), and the win means Jordan is tied for the division lead with Tyler, but is behind on points.

Each game next week will have playoff implications -- but I'll go more in depth on that later in another post.  It will probably be published after the Monday Night Football game is over.

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Week 11: The First Cannon Fire of the Season

In Hunger Games fashion, let us all pay tribute to Rob, the first of 11 fallen tributes.  With a loss tonight, Rob can max out at 5 wins for the year.  There are currently five people with 6+ wins that Rob can't catch, and the winner of the Ren and Matt matchup next week will also get to 6 wins, so that would fill the 6th slot, meaning Rob cannot get to the 6th slot (or the division champion).  Best of luck in the consolation bracket Rob.  This also means we will have a new champion this year, and that Rob won't be going back to back.

Several games were close at the beginning of Monday night, but they didn't end up that way.  The Monday Night Football game was a shootout that didn't favor everyone equally, unfortunately.  And in other news, for anyone who is reading this write up that isn't in the league, there was a blockbuster trade of Zeke/Hopkins for Gurley/Keenan Allen.  But more on that later.

Skyler vs Geoff/Konner:  As the matchup mentions, Konner has been added in as a temporary co-owner for the season as Geoff has run into lineup issues the last 2 weeks, and with it being the playoffs soon, and with so many teams being in contention, it didn't seem fair to let Geoff not set an actual lineup.  This match was never close though.  Skyler put up a huge total and ran away with this early, so it didn't matter that Gurley had his lowest point total of the season, because several others had their best games of the year.  Skyler has taken over first place, while Geoff/Konner are in 7th, one game out of 6th, but if they could tie with Kyle on record, they currently hold the points tiebreaker.

Brady vs Tommy: This was a close game going into Sunday night, but then Diggs gave Tommy a nice lead, and Hunt kept him there, even though Brady tried to fight back with Cooks on Monday night.  The lack of Patriots players and lack of George Kittle, combined with Fitztragic getting pulled kept Brady from reaching his full potential this week.  The loss puts Brady into 2nd overall, behind 1 game on Skyler, but ahead of him by 15 points on the tiebreaker, but it puts him into the 4th seed for the playoffs.  Their week 13 matchup will be fun with a lot on the line.  With the win, Tommy gets to 5 wins and stays in striking distance of the 6th seed.  He is a game behind Kyle, but ahead of Kyle by 6 points.  The issue facing Tommy is that there are 3 other teams tied with him at 5-6, and he is the lowest of the 4 on points.  He is still very much in the playoff hunt though.

Rob vs Matt:  As was mentioned in the introduction, Rob lost and is out of the playoffs.  The combination of Carson Wentz and his defense scoring 1.84 points was a big factor in that.  The other factor was the trade that was mentioned above.  Matt's new players scored him 47.7 points, and his old players would have scored him 36.4, which is a difference of 11.3 points.  Rob lost by 10.28.  So the Zeke trade worked out for Matt this week, and it will definitely work out next week since Gurley will be on a bye and Zeke won't be, and Matt needs a win to stay in the playoff hunt.  With the loss, Rob is eliminated, and Matt moves back into first place in his division.  Matt has the benefit of being the highest scorer of the 5-6 pack, so even if Ren passes him for the division, Matt is still in contention for the wild card.

Trevor vs Ren: Trevor keeps his playoff hopes alive by beating Ren in convincing fashion.  I can't say enough good things about Saquon -- potentially dragging Trevor to the playoffs might be more impressive than dragging the Giants to a few wins.  Ren stays tied for the division lead but is back on points.  He is also part of the 5-6 group that is battling for the last playoff spot, but he is 3rd (of 4) on points.  His easiest path is the division title, but he can still get there through the wild card if everything bounces right.  Trevor needs to win out to have a shot at the playoffs. 

Jordan vs TJ:  This game started close with Jordan needing 11 points from Hill on MNF for the win.  It was definitely the likely outcome, but there was always a shot TJ could hold on for the win.  43.5 points later, and Hill secured the victory for Jordan.  This win puts Jordan ahead of Kyle for 5th place (ahead by 104 points), but behind Tyler (behind by 7) for 2nd/a first-round bye.  Last week I gave Jordan crap about not being afraid of his team because I didn't think he would get above the 6th seed, but now he is battling for the 2nd seed in the playoffs, which would come with a first-round bye.  TJ can still make the playoffs if he wins out, if Jordan wins out, and if the right combinations of wins and losses happen to the teams at 5-6 and 6-5.  TJ can max out at 6 wins, so he needs to keep as few teams at 6 or below as possible, and then hope he can beat them on tie-breakers.  It's a tall order, but it could still happen.  To go with the Hunger games analogy from before, TJ is bleeding out, and he desperately needs an ally and some medication, but the cannon is loaded and ready to be fired at any time.

Kyle vs Tyler:  The game of the week was decided by 1.3 points, with game flow keeping Kyle from getting a chance at a victory at the end of MNF.  Both guys were sweating it out and hating their lives that whole game.  The win puts Tyler in 3rd on record, but 2nd in the playoffs.  Kyle drops from the 2nd seed/bye to  6th place, but he leads that last wildcard spot by a game -- which is the silver lining for now.

Highest Scorer of the Week:  This award goes to Skyler this week thanks to some fluky performances from Mike Evans (recovering a Jameis Winston fumble in the end zone) and Jordan Reed (2nd touchdown of the year, 1st one since week one).

Lowest Scorer of the Week: Ren "wins" this award after 2 points from Dalvin Cook and 1.8 from MVS, though the rest of the team had a hand in letting him down as well.

Luckiest Team of the Week:  After complaining about how Skyler gets lucky a lot, Tyler comes in with one of the luckier games of the year.  He wins by 1.3, though it could have 0.3 had the kicker not missed a PAT, and he was the 5th worst scorer of the week, meaning there were only 4 people who could have beat this week, and he played one of them.

Unluckiest Team of the Week:  Rob was the 4th highest scorer of the week but ended up playing the 3rd highest scorer, and he is eliminated from the playoffs because of it.  Rob is currently in last place, but is the 6th highest scorer of the season, which goes to show just how unlucky he has been this year.

Now for a quick summary of the standings, and how next weeks games will affect them.

Skyler is in 1st overall, and by hitting 9 wins, he has guaranteed a spot no worse than the 4 seed in the playoffs.  If Skyler wins next week, and that is combined with a Brady loss, he will finish with the 1 seed and the bye.

Brady is in 2nd overall, and it is near impossible for him to move lower than the 4 seed.  He would have to lose out, and then Kyle and Tyler would have to win out, and then Tyler would have to outscore him by 120 over two weeks to pass him, and Kyle would have to outscore him by 230 over two weeks to pass him.  So like I said, Brady will finish no worse than the 4 seed, and is still in contention for the 1st seed.  If Brady loses next week, and Skyler wins, Brady will be eliminated from the bye week/1 seed.

Tyler is in 3rd overall, and has the 2 seed because he is winning his division at the moment. However, his lead over Jordan is only by 7 points, so he could easily lose this lead.  Unfortunately for him, Kyle and Jordan play each other next week, so one of them will get to 7 wins.  So if Tyler loses to TJ, Kyle beats Jordan,  Jordan outscores Tyler by 7, Tyler would drop to 6th place and would have to worry about the 5-6 group getting wins.  Tyler's range of outcomes is anywhere from a bye week to missing the playoffs.

Jordan is in 4th overall, but currently has the 5 seed.  He is very close to passing Tyler though for the division.  Anything I said in Tyler's section also applies to Jordan (range of outcomes and how to get there), so just re-read that.

Kyle is in 5th overall, but currently has the 6 seed.  He is a ways back on tie-breaker with Tyler and Jordan, but he could still win his division. Anything I said in Tyler's section also applies to Kyle (range of outcomes and how to get there), so just re-read that.

Matt is in 6th overall, but currently has the 3 seed (stupid south division).  He leads the tiebreaker over Ren for his division by 120 points, and he leads the 5-6 group on points as well.  So Matt has a variety of ways he can make or miss the playoffs.  He can finish with the 3 seed, the 6 seed, or out of the playoffs.

Ren is in 8th overall, and I am putting him here because his fate is so closely tied with Matt.  He can still win his division, and he could potentially make it as the 6th seed, but since he is 3rd out of 4th in the 5-6 group, so his best bet would be the 3 seed.  He is 20 points ahead of Kyle, but is a game behind for the 6th seed.  He can still get the 3 seed, 6 seed, or out of the playoffs

Geoff/Konner is in 7th overall, as they are a game behind Kyle for the 6 seed, but they are ahead of Kyle by 30 points.  They can finish at the 5 seed, 6 seed, or out of the playoffs.

Tommy is in 9th overall, and a game behind Kyle, but is 6 points ahead of Kyle.  He can finish at the 5 seed, 6 seed, or out of the playoffs.

TJ is in 10th overall at 4-7.  He needs a miracle to make the playoffs.  He needs a scenario where a lot of people finish 6-7, and TJ could get in on the tiebreaker.  He can finish at the 5 seed, 6 seed, or out of the playoffs.  A loss means he is out of the playoffs.

Trevor is in 11th overall at 4-7.  He needs a miracle to make the playoffs.  He could still win his division, or possibly even still make the playoffs as a wild card.  The division champion scenarios is where he wins out, and then he would prefer Ren beat Matt in week 12, and then Rob beat Ren in week 13 because he is behind Matt in the tiebreaker by 70 points, but he is ahead of ren by 25 points.  In order to make the wild card, he needs a scenario where a lot of people finish 6-7, and Trevor could get in on the tiebreaker (or as I call it, the TJ scenario).  He can finish at the 3 seed, 5 seed, 6 seed, or out of the playoffs. A loss means he is out of the playoffs, and a Matt win would make it really hard to make the playoffs.

Rob is in 12th overall, and cannot make the playoffs.  Sorry Rob.

I was messing with my potential records page (it's super sophisticated), and I discovered a scenario where someone misses the playoffs even though they get to 7 wins.  I was looking into it to see if getting to 7 wins next week guaranteed anyone a playoff spot.  It doesn't due to the fact that the South winner makes the playoffs, so someone from the South could get in at 6-7 and someone who is 7-6 would miss the wild card.  So the point is, getting to 7 isn't a guarantee, though it is really likely to get you into the playoffs.  So whoever wins between Kyle and Jordan will be in a really good spot. Also, because Matt and Ren both have 5 wins and play each other this week, the South winner will for sure hit 6 wins, so that's nice.  6-7 looks better than 5-8.

There are so many scenarios that will make the league entertaining that it will take too long to go through everything.  I want to see as many people competing for the playoffs on the last week, but odds are you are only worried about making the playoffs, and you don't care what anyone else does as long as it doesn't hurt you.  I will see if I can write something up mid-week, but it isn't likely with Thanksgiving being so soon.

Looking at specific matchups -- Kyle vs Jordan might be the game of the week since the winner of that game will have a good shot at a bye week, and Ren vs Matt is another one that is huge because the winner will have a good shot at winning the division and getting the 3 seed.  All the other matchups have playoff implications, but those two matchups are the marquee ones in my mind.

There will be 3 games on Thursday for Thanksgiving (Bears/Lions, Redskins/Cowboys, and Falcons/Saints), which will make for some prime time viewing/matchups, and then Sunday Night Football is Vikings/Packers and Monday Night Football is Texans/Titans (not a great fantasy game), and the Chiefs and Rams will be on bye.  That means we should all see some quality games and hopefully, some players will step up, but we will also be missing some great players due to the last bye week this season.

Thanks for sticking with me through this whole thing, and good luck to everyone (except Tommy) next week. 

Monday, November 12, 2018

Week 10: More Than Meets the Eye

First things first, I will confirm that for whatever reason, it seemed like a good idea to get this weeks title from Transformers.  I have no idea why I would do it, but I did.  There won't be a Transformers theme for the rest of the post or anything like that.  Anyway...

Skyler vs TJ: After the trade and for most of the morning and early afternoon, TJ looked like he would win, but then Ezekiel Elliot happened.  Before Sunday Zeke has had one game over 30 all year (he got 36 this week - his high score for the season), and all of his other games were under 20.  He's had a weird year but steps up big time on Sunday night football.  The unexpected loss puts TJ in a little bit of a playoff hole.  He can still overcome it, given that he still plays Jordan head to head and that Geoff isn't likely to win out -- TJ's margin of error is just getting smaller.

Jordan vs Geoff:  In one of the more nerve-wracking wins, Jordan needed 6 points from his kicker on Monday night (who is on the terrible 49ers) to get the win over Geoff.  Jordan got it pretty easily after his kicker got him a 50 yard field goal on the first drive. The win for Jordan means he pulls even with Geoff on wins and holds a decent margin (40) on points scored to pull ahead in the playoff standings.

Matt vs Tommy:  I was selfishly watching Aaron Rodgers and cheering for more TD's when I saw a message from Matt calling Tommy a dog.  Turns out those last 3 minutes between them were pretty intense.  It was something like a .06 point lead for Tommy, but the Rams had just gotten the ball back and were trying to run out the clock, and Seattle had all three timeouts, so the Rams couldn't take a knee and be done with it.  Matt had Todd Gurley and was hopeful to eke out the win through a few rushing yards, maybe a first down, to ice the game.  Fortunately for Tommy, the Seahawks D held tough, but only after Gurley had scored enough points to give Matt the lead again.  Fortunately for Tommy, the Seahawks were down 7 points, and he had their top two WR's.  He only needed one catch for about 5 yards to win (by like .2), but he ended up getting the win by 3 points for good measure.  The loss puts Matt into panic mode, where he is looking to possibly sell Gurley.

Rob vs Brady: Rob had a pretty terrible weekend from most of his team.  6 of his players got him a combined 51.9 points.  Fortunately for him, Wentz, M. Gordon, and A. Jones got him a combined 84.9, which was enough to sneak out the win over Brady and a last-ditch effort from George Kittle on Monday night.  Brady was done in by a lot of meh outings from his own players, even though Julio got another touchdown.  Fitzpatrick scored his lowest total of the year (in a game where he wasn't pulled for Jameis anyway), and James White also had his worst game of the year.  Even after the loss, Brady is still in first due to his large lead over Skyler in points scored (70).  Rob stays put in the overall standings, and stays at 3rd in his division, but he does catch up in the win column on Matt since he lost this week, though Ren's win doesn't help his cause. He is still 2 games out from the division lead -- he has the points tiebreaker over Ren, but not over Matt.  That should be a fun division race.

Ren vs Tyler:  Despite an incredible Sunday night output from Zach Ertz for Tyler, Ren got the win behind a great Monday night game from OBJ.  The win for Ren puts him a game up in his division over Matt, with 3 games left to go.  I mentioned up above how Rob had a terrible week from most of his team.  Turns out Tyler had it worse, with 6 players scoring him 43.2 points (full disclosure, you can do this to pretty much everyone's team, but it didn't fit the stories I wanted to tell), yet he still got to 140+ points for the week.  His team confuses me so much.  The loss hurts, but Kyle also losing makes this hurt less.

Kyle vs Trevor:  Trevor should probably just buy a Saquon jersey at this point.  Not that it was a herculean effort to get him the win tonight, but still, Saquon is his team.  Though McCaffrey came up big this week and helped get the win/catch up on point totals.  The win means Trevor keeps pace with his division, and still has a chance to win the division somehow and end up with the 3 seed.  Fortunately for Kyle, Tyler lost, so Kyle holds onto his division lead/the bye week for now.

High Scorer of the week:  Overall, it felt like a lower scoring week than normal because the high scorer didn't blow everyone away, but the fact is out of 10 weeks so far, this week was #5 for total points -- meaning this was basically an average week for everyone, but that makes the league more fun.  Anyway, the award goes to Ren, which was deserved after that Monday Night Football Miracle.  It's his first such win of the year, and it also helped him win his game (obviously you win your game if you are the best scorer of the week), and that win helped him take the division lead for the first time since week 1.

Low Scorer of the week: After a few great weeks, Kyle crashed back down to earth and wins this prestigious award.  It's his second of the year, his other being week 1, when this probably wasn't an award (I just checked, it was -- I made it up because I was the high scorer that week), and the league was even crazier with random scores.

Luckiest Team of the week: Ren was in contention based on how/when he won, but the award will go to Tommy for his narrow margin of victory and for being a middle of the road scorer for the week, but still getting the win.

Unluckiest team of the week:  Tyler runs away with this for both the manner in which he lost and for being the second highest scorer of the week and still losing anyway.

So now for the overall playoff races come down to these scenarios:

North winner (and likely 1 seed):  Even after a loss this week, and a Skyler win, Brady is still in the driver's seat for the 1 seed due to his large point lead.  He could drop down, but it's unlikely.  Whoever doesn't win the division though will more than likely be the 4 seed.

West winner (and likely 2 seed):  This should come down to the winner of Kyle and Tyler.  They go back and forth enough that I don't think there is a clear leader just yet.  I'll give the edge to Kyle based on the current standings, but Tyler has the lead on points, so if they have a tied record, Tyler would take the lead.  The loser of this race will look to lock up the 5 seed, and play against the 4 seed from the north.  On the off chance, they jump to the 4 seed, the north will get the 5 seed, and the matchup stays the same.  The winner for the 4 vs 5 seed will play the 1 seed, so this division race might be the most important playoff race because it means getting the much better bracket -- though this is fantasy football, and weird things happen all the time.

South winner (and 3 seed):  This is completely up for grabs with first and last place being only two games apart, and with the schedules returning back to division play.  After being terrible all year, I fully expect one of these teams to get hot and somehow win the whole thing. Ren currently has a one-game lead on Matt, and two over Rob and Trevor, which puts Rob and Trevor under more pressure to win now, to win out, and hope Ren loses out, and Matt's only win the last 3 weeks is against Ren.

4 and 5 seed: Closely tied to the North and West races previously mentioned -- unless someone tanks hard to drop to the 6th seed, though that doesn't look likely at this point, or someone from the 6th seed could sneak up, but it doesn't seem likely.

6 seed:  This should be a very fun race.  For sure in the race are Geoff, Jordan, and TJ.  Depending on if they can get their acts together, Tommy and the non-division winner of Matt or Ren could also get involved.  It will make for some interesting scenarios.  Obviously, we all wish people were a little better, or that some terrible team wouldn't make the playoffs, but having everyone still be alive in some form or another for the playoffs is what makes the end of the season so exciting.

No one has been officially eliminated yet, but Trevor is on life support, and the Grim Reaper is headed his way.  Trevor needs to win out, needs the right combination of wins and losses for his division mates, and then needs to make sure he beats them on the tiebreaker.  It's a tall order, but still mathematically feasible -- and if he does it, he would get the 3 seed with a 5-8 record.  You could copy and paste all of that and replace Trevor with Rob and it would apply.  If it happens, we might have a rule change about 5-8 teams making the playoffs with such a high seed.

Tommy is in a similar boat to Trevor and Rob, but he is instead fighting for the 6th seed instead of his division championship.  In my scenario of the Grim Reaper coming for Trevor and Rob, Tommy is their roommate at the hospital, and the Grim Reaper will likely get them next week, but he doesn't know which one he will get first.

All the matchups are important at this stage, so instead of only writing about 2 or 3 matchups I will rank their importance (or at least fun storyline), and try to mention something interesting form each game.

1 - Kyle vs Tyler: If Kyle gets this win, he will take a 2 game lead over Tyler for the division lead/bye, with 2 games left in the season.  Tyler doesn't currently have an RB on his roster that isn't on bye next week.  This bodes well for Kyle.

2 - Jordan vs TJ:  Jordan currently has a 1 game lead, with a 20 point tie breaker on TJ.  If TJ gets the win, he erases the game lead, and will shrink (or even eliminate depending on the scoring margin) the tie breaker situation.  TJ won't be eliminated if he loses, but he will be on life support depending on who else wins or loses.

3 - Trevor vs Ren:  This is an elimination game for Trevor.  If he loses this he can't win his division or the wild card.  A win here for Ren will keep at least a game ahead of Matt.  The rest of the division will be pulling hard for Trevor next week.

4 - Rob vs Matt:  Matt needs to win to try and retake the division lead.  A Rob loss combined with a Ren win would eliminate Rob from the playoffs.

5 - Brady vs Tommy:  Tommy losing won't 100% eliminate him because he could still come back on tiebreakers (in theory, but it won't really happen), but it would be next to impossible.  If he lost and all the teams he was competing with for the 6th lost, he definitely wouldn't be eliminated, he would just need a miracle.  A Brady win keeps him on pace for the 1 seed.  Tommy's best hope is that with the Patriots (2 RB, 1 WR, 1 DST for Brady) and the 49ers (1 TE for Brady) on bye, that Brady can't pull through this week, and Tommy sneaks out the win.

6 - Skyler vs Geoff:  At this point, it would be hard for Skyler to drop below the 5th seed, and he has for sure clinched a playoff spot.  It would also be hard to catch Brady on the one seed, and then keep it, so Skyler is waiting in purgatory for the playoffs to begin.  A loss does not eliminate Geoff, but it certainly doesn't help him, and a win helps eliminate some crazy scenarios.  If he lost and TJ beat Jordan, there would be a 3-way tie for 6th.  If Matt beat Rob, he would join and make it a 4-way tie for 6th.  I am now rooting for this 4 way tie scenario.  Except I just realized that if Ren lost, it would kind of be a 5-way tie for the 6 seed (even though Matt and Ren would also be tied for their division lead), so that is my new vote.  Except if we give Tommy a win, he would also join in on the tie, so that is my newest vote.  And also Tyler losing means he would join in on the fun -- I should quit casting votes until I think through all of the scenarios.

So to recap the craziest timeline, a Geoff loss, a Tommy win, a Tyler loss, a TJ win, a Ren loss, and a Matt win would mean 7 people would be tied for 5th and 6th (Matt and Ren also tied for 3rd).  I really want this to happen.

Also, the primetime games will be great with the Vikings vs Bears and Chiefs vs Rams (that will be such a fun game) playing, and with 6 other teams on bye, we could see somewhere around 18 fantasy players from those two games in starting lineups.

Anyway, that's it for now.  Good luck everyone (except Geoff -- and Brady, Tyler, Jordan, Ren and Rob) as we get back into the division games next week.

Monday, November 5, 2018

Week 9: The Playoff Push Intensifies

Week 9 is in the books.  We have one more week of inter-division play, and then we are back to beating up on the people in our own divisions.  Until then, let's look back at what happened week 9, and what it means for the playoffs.

Skyler vs Rob:  Skyler managed to get the Monday night win behind Ezekiel Elliot, which gets him to 7 wins.  That's not a guaranteed playoff spot, but something like 90+% of those who get to 7 wins make the playoffs.  Robs loss doesn't put him in last place because he outscored Trevor by a large enough margin, but he is certainly in the danger zone (aka only 6 points ahead)

Matt vs Geoff:  In the battle of fringe playoff teams, Matt got the win over Geoff.  However, the Jordan/Ren game went in such a way that Matt and Geoff don't really gain or lose any ground after this game.  Matt and Geoff obviously would prefer to win, but they aren't necessarily competing for the same spot, so this loss doesn't kill Geoff, even though it was by 30ish points.

TJ vs Trevor:  It wasn't close, it was a blowout.  TJ likely would have won had he just started his QB, WR1, and DST.  The biggest problem facing the rest of TJ's season is that he isn't in the South.  If he were in the South Division, he would be tied for first.  Instead, he is in the West and is in last place.

Ren vs Jordan:  Ren is getting hot at the right time and is in the division hunt.  If he can sneak into the playoffs, he could end up making some noise behind Kamara and Cook. The loss puts Jordan a game behind Geoff in the wild-card standings.

Tyler vs Brady: Give me a second, I'm copying the first sentence from TJ vs Trevor.  It wasn't close, it was a blowout.  Brady whooped Tyler and is further cementing his grip on first place in the regular season.

Kyle vs Tommy:  It wasn't the beatdown that TJ gave Trevor, or Brady gave Tyler, but it was a solid win for Kyle all the same.  His win plus Tyler's loss puts him back in the division lead, and the second seed in the playoffs.  As much as it pains me to say it, Kyle is putting up some decent points the last three weeks.

Currently, Brady is winning the North, Matt is winning the South, and Kyle leads the West.  No one leads by more than a game though so inter-division play could change those standings.  However, I want to look at the Wildcard situations right now.  Everything will be in relation to 6th place since that is the last spot/person to make the playoffs.

Rank    Team      Margin from 6th
4th       Skyler      +2
5th       Tyler         0
6th       Geoff        0
7th       TJ            -1
8th       Jordan     -1
9th       Ren         -1

Something I just realized is that Brady still hasn't officially clinched the playoffs, but it is close.  At 8 wins, with 4 games left to play, he can't be caught by Tommy, Trevor, or Rob, since they all have less than 4 wins.  The 4 teams that could, in theory, catch him are split 2 in one division, and 2 in another -- meaning that the two teams in the west and the two teams in the south will play each other.  That means each one of them is a guaranteed loss.  So that means he can't be caught by 5 people, but 6 is the magic number to clinch a playoff spot.  I'm sure Brady gets there next week, but he would have liked to get there today.

The purpose of all of that is to say that people are still competing for the playoffs.  Sure, Tommy, Trevor, and Rob can't catch Brady, but they can catch the wildcard teams -- so no one should give up.

High Score of the week:  This goes to the number one team overall.  Brady cleared the second highest scorer by 10 points this week, and further cements his status as the number 1 team.

Low Score of the week: Geoff's hot streak came to an end, but he had built up enough of a buffer that he is still in the lead for the last wildcard spot.  He doesn't have that margin for error next week though.

Luckiest Team of the week:  The true answer is no one because all of the teams that finished in the top 6 won, but because Matt was the lowest scoring winner, he goes here by default.

Unluckiest Team of the week: The true answer is no one because all of the teams that finished in the top 6 won, but since Rob was the highest scoring loser, and he was in the closest game, he goes here by default.

Interesting notes from the matchups next week -- I normally only pick a few matchups, but there are enough decent storylines/matchups that go together that I will include everyone this week.

Geoff vs Jordan & Skyler vs TJ:  Winner of Geoff vs Jordan should be the 6 seed of the playoffs, though if Jordan wins, and TJ wins, and TJ outscores Jordan by 4ish, TJ would move up ahead of both Jordan and Geoff for the 6th seed, so that's why these matchups are in the same section.

Matt vs Tommy & Ren vs Tyler:  I am doubling up on this one because if Matt loses and Ren wins, Matt will no longer be the division leader, which is a title he has held on to after beating Ren in week 2.  If Matt wins and Ren loses, that will give Matt a 1 game cushion as we head back into the division rounds.  If Tommy loses, he might as well kiss the playoffs goodbye.

Rob vs Brady & Trevor vs Kyle:  If Rob and/or Trevor lose, they can kiss a wild card birth goodbye, and they would need a miracle to win the division.  If they win, they still have a shot (though a very long one) at winning the division.  Making the wildcard would be a miracle for either of them at this point.  A Brady win clinches him the playoffs for sure, and it would guarantee that the North would have a bye week because no on in the South could catch him (he could still lose the bye week to Skyler, but the North would still have the bye if that happened).

Prime time matchups next week are the Cowboys and Eagles on Sunday Night Football and the Giants and the 49ers on Monday Night Football.  I was about to say that doesn't sound very exciting, but that should be around 9 starters (excluding kickers), so it actually could be semi-interesting.

Well that's all for this week.  Good luck to everyone but TJ in week 10.

Monday, October 29, 2018

Week 8: Todd Gurley is the Real MVP

Yesterday in our group conversation, I said I hated Todd Gurley because he wouldn't stop scoring points for Matt.  Turns out, he stopped scoring points at the very end, and I now love him for it.  But more about that on the official game recaps below.

Matt vs Skyler:  I was flying for most of the match, but when I landed, I had a 5.42 lead.  I only ended up with that lead because Todd Gurley didn't run it in at the end of his game.  That last TD would have scored about 6.4 more points for Matt, and he would have won.  Matt leads his division at 3-5, after starting 3-0 (he is tied for 1st, but he owns the tiebreaker).  Skyler moves to 6-2, which is what he was at last year -- and then missed the playoffs.

Geoff vs Rob: Geoff got the Monday Night miracle behind a solid game from McCoy and a strong game from Gostkowski.  It moves Geoff up into 4th place, and Rob drops down to last place, but with the Matt loss, he stays in the playoff hunt for his division.

Tommy vs Tyler:  Behind a huge Thursday night from Watson and Drake, Tyler hung on to win, even after his defense got him negative points.  The win moves him up to 3rd, though he would be 2nd seed in the playoffs because he is first in his division.

Brady vs Kyle:  Brady gets the come from behind victory based off of a pair of Patriots putting a pounding on the Bills (tried to get more alliteration, but couldn't find a good way to do it).  James White is a PPR stud.  Brady somehow survived his QB tossing 4 INT's and getting pulled.  What a weird week for Brady.  Brady keeps a game lead on second place Skyler.

Ren vs TJ: Ren kept his solid lead, and got the win with TJ needing a semi-injured Gronk (he was questionable/doubtful during the week I believe) to score him more points. TJ really hates Monday Night Football, as he has now lost several games due to players playing on Monday.  The win means Ren, who is in 9th place, is tied for first in the division, he is just behind on total points.

Trevor vs Jordan:  Trevor took on the Ginger Buzzsaw of Parowan, who was the highest scorer for the last two weeks.  Trevor did it in style by being the highest scorer of the week himself.  Despite the great week, he is still in last place. **Edit: He is no longer in last place.  He is in 11th place** However, if he can pull even on wins with his division rivals, he is doing well enough he could pass some people on points tie-breakers.  It will be interesting to see if he keeps it up, though losing Will Fuller V for the year certainly doesn't help.  Even with the loss, Jordan puts up decent points and should help him in the playoff race when it comes to tie-breakers.  There are no moral victories, but this wasn't a terrible loss.

Time for some "awards".

High score of the week:  Trevor won this and it wasn't close.  He had a great week, we'll see if it's a sign of things to come.

Low score of the week: TJ had an unfortunate week, even though his QB, RB1, and WR1 had decent weeks.

Luckiest team of the week: Ren was the 10th best scorer of the week (aka 3rd worst), but still managed to get the win by playing the lowest scorer of the week.  Skyler came in a close second since he won based on the Gurley kneel down.

Unluckiest team of the week:  This one goes to Jordan.  He had another solid week (5th highest score of the week, just under 140 points), but he was shut down by Trevor's high flying offense.  Matt came in a close second, simply based on Gurley should have scored that TD and it would have won Matt the game.

Looking forward to next week.  First I want to talk about how excited I am that the Raiders play the 49ers on Thursday night.  It means that I will hopefully get to see some good games next Sunday instead of being stuck watching local teams.  Yesterday there were 3 afternoon games:  The Rams/Packers, the Raiders/Colts, and the 49ers/Cardinals.  I lost out and couldn't watch any of the Rams/Packers game.  Living in a football market of a team you don't like is terrible. Also, in 2013, I lived in the Jags secondary market (Orlando), so I had to watch them every week, so I know what I'm talking about.  I kind of miss Utah for football games, but the west time zone is best.

Anyway, fantasy view for next week.

Matt vs Geoff:  This game is interesting from the standpoint that these two teams are right next to each other in the standings, but this game doesn't really affect their chances of making the playoffs.  Matt has to worry about everyone in his division, and Geoff needs to worry about the wild card teams.  Obviously, they both want to win, but at this point, they need to worry about winning, and then seeing what their opponents do.

Tyler vs Brady:  This is the prime-time match-up of the week.  The number 1 team vs the number 3 (but 2 on playoff seedings) team.  We'll see how it plays out though since a lot of Tyler's team is on bye next week.

Sunday Night Football is the Patriots vs the Packers, which will be fun to watch, and will be fun for fantasy.  We could see somewhere around 15 fantasy players from this game (6 NFL teams are on bye, so a few lower tier WR/RB could see some time) in starting lineups.

Monday Night Football is the Titans vs Cowboys.  I may be the only one in the league who will be excited about this game.  There are likely no fantasy starters from the Titans (who are my favorite team), and probably only 1 starter from the Cowboys with Ezekiel Elliot (he is on my fantasy team).  So most of the games should be final after Sunday night.

Well, that's it for this week from Dallas. I'm here for work training, so don't expect any quick responses when it comes to fantasy football.  Best of luck to everyone this week, except Rob.

Monday, October 22, 2018

Week 7: Perfectly Balanced, As All Things Should Be

We are at the halfway point for the regular season, and half of the league has a winning record (click here for the latest standings).  I'm pretty sure Thanos would like that.  Anyway, enough Avengers references, onto the weekly review.

Skyler vs Kyle: Kyle getting his highest score of the year and Skyler getting his lowest score of the year is the recipe for instant butt-whooping.  The game looked like it might be close early on, but that ended fairly quickly.  Obviously, this is some sour grapes from me, but Kyle is 2nd to last in scoring and currently would have the bye week and the 2nd seed.  Fantasy football is weird.

Brady vs Ren: Brady underperformed a little bit, but Ren underperformed a little bit more (his 4th highest scorer was his kicker). Brady stays on top of the leaderboard, with Ren dropping a few spots.

Tommy vs Trevor:  I am Turbo wins the battle of the lower end teams by a healthy margin.  I am Turbo is now tied for 7th (he is technically in 9th due to the tie-breakers ).  Obviously, we still have a long way to go before the playoffs, but given the way the team started, Tommy has the team in a good spot.  Trevor, unfortunately, is in a bad place.  His ranking starts with a 1, just like Brady's ranking, except Trevor's ranking ends in a 2.

TJ vs Rob:  In a weird week, Rob got the win, even though he started a running back who got him -0.5 points.  This win gets Rob from 12th place to 10th place.  He still has a ways to go to make the playoffs, but a win is a win.  As mentioned on the group chat, TJ is a kingmaker, in that he gives the win to last place teams and they feel like Kings for the day.

Jordan vs Matt: This was the second closest game of the week, and the final score actually ended up being fairly close even though the result was never in question.  Basically what I'm saying is there were a lot of blowouts this week.  This win gets Jordan back into the playoff race (5th place overall), but his playoff seeding would be 6th since the south will somehow get a 3 seed.

Tyler vs Geoff: In what was the closest game of the week, Geoff managed to squeak out a win vs Tyler on Monday Night due to Mo Sanu getting his second-worst total of the year.  That or you can blame his kicker for missing two PAT's, whichever you want.  The loss drops Tyler to 4th place.  Even with the win, Geoff is in 6th for the standings but is currently in 7th for playoff seeding because someone in the south will make the playoffs, and the whole division is behind Matt.

High Scoring Team of the Week:  I will keep using the "Ginger Buzzsaw of Parowan" nickname until Jordan stops being the high scorer of the week.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: On the other side of the previous matchup is the runner-up for the unluckiest team of the week in Matt.  Normally I would give Matt this award for being the second highest scorer and losing, but Tyler managed to steal this victory from Matt.  Tyler wins the unluckiest team of the week due to his narrow margin of defeat, not because of his great score (he finished in 9th for highest score this week, so he deserved to lose), but because he lost by 0.32.  Sanu could have won him the game tonight with 4 more yards, or 1 more catch, but it wasn't meant to be.  His kicker also missed 2 PAT's, so I feel good giving Tyler this award.

Luckiest team of the week will be given to Geoff.  He finished in 8th for the week, which isn't great, and he also got lucky to sneak out that win in the end.

Looking forward to some of the interesting matchups next week,  the new hotness of I am Turbo takes on the old and busted Hukraine (mostly just wanted to make a MIIB reference).  If Tommy's turn around is real, this should be a good matchup to prove it.  The battle of top 3, but kind of 2 teams this week comes down between Brady and Kyle, which could affect the race for the number one seed come playoff time.

We won't see a large reliance on Monday Night Football next week given that one of the teams is the Bills, and they only have one fantasy relevant player if they are lucky.  The Patriots could provide up to 6 fantasy relevant players, but who knows.  Sunday Night should be more important overall as it is the Saints vs the Vikings and we could see anywhere around 12 total players from that night in starting lineups.

This year's playoff race will be interesting.  Usually, if you get to 7-6, you will make the playoffs (right around 80% of the time).  With half the league at 4-3 or 3-4, we may see a few of those teams only get to 6-7 and still manage to get in.  It's too early to tell, but just keep in mind that 6 may be the magic number this year.  So no one is really out of it, but Trevor will need a miracle to make it at this point.  6 wins may be the magic number to win the South Division, so Trevor still has a shot there, but again, it would take a lot of help.  I have a dream that one year, a whole division will make the playoffs while they other divisions only get their division winners in.  It doesn't look like that will happen this year with both the North and the West having strong number 2 teams, and with I am Batman's rocky start, but a guy can dream.

That's it for now.  Good luck to everyone next week except for Matt.

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Week 6 part deux

Last night, during my quality recap (found here), I was on the phone with Brady, and didn't give the proper attention to my post.

Things that I missed included High Scorer of the Week, Lucky Team of the Week, and Unlucky Team of the Week.  I thought about updating the old post, but this seems like a cheaper way to pad my stats/views.

Jordan was the high scorer of last week with 175.28 points.  It is the 3rd highest score of the year.  Considering we have had 6 weeks, and there are 12 different scores in a week, that puts his overall performance of 3 out of 72, which is quite impressive.  It is likely an outlier, but if Jordan's team has turned a corner, he could become the division leader in 2 weeks. I realize that doesn't sound like much, but given that he is currently in last in the division, and doesn't hold any points tie-breakers, it would be a nice and quick turn around.

Luckiest team of the week -- That belongs to Tyler for beating Skyler. The luckiest team is TJ (he beat Tyler for that distinction by .32 points).  He was the 7th leading scorer, but had a match up that got him a victory, and even then it was only a 7 point victory.  But a win is a win and it moves him into a playoff spot.

Unluckiest team of the week is Rob. Rob was the 4th highest scorer of the week, but ran into the Ginger Buzzsaw of Parowan (not a permanent nickname, just trying something for this section).  The GBP was no respecter of persons this week, and Rob was the victim.

In other interesting news that was brought up by Brady last night.  The top 2 scorers are the only ones averaging over 140 (number 3 is really close at 139 points), but if you look at each week, 140 is only a slightly better than average finish.  With a score of 140, you would have finished in the following positions below.

Week 1: 5th place
Week 2: 3rd place
Week 3: 2nd place
Week 4: 6th place
Week 5: 5th place
Week 6: 6th place

So if you finish with over 140, you are in a good place to get a win, but hitting it consistently is hard.  So keep that in mind next week when setting your lineup.

I'm not looking to do a part 3 tomorrow, but you never know.  Good luck to everyone but Kyle.

Monday, October 15, 2018

Week 6: The Return of the King in the North

Week 6 brought back the Return of the King in the North to first place.  Skyler got whooped by Tyler and Brady squeaked out a 6 point win over Trevor, so now Brady moves up to first, Skyler moves down to second, and Tyler moves up to third (and currently has a bye week spot).

The only other close game outside of Brady and Trevor was Matt vs TJ, which was a 7 point game, but that was decided last night.  Overall, the quality of the fantasy games tonight was seriously lacking.

The new standings are in a screenshot below:

Things to note:  I am Turbo moved up two spots after Tommy's first week taking over.  If Geoff had scored 4 more points, Matt would have dropped down to 7th.  He would still qualify as the division winner, but it would have been funny that no one in the South division would qualify for the playoffs on schedule.  The North went 3-1 this week, the West went 3-1 this week, and the South went 0-4 this week.  Not a great week for them.

Looking forward to next week -

Kyle (4) vs Skyler (2) looks like it will be the highest ranked matchup of the week.

Tommy (10) vs Trevor (11) will be the battle of the lowest teams.  If Tommy can get a win though, that would put him on a nice streak and put him back in the hunt for 6th place.

With bye weeks being crazy, and two fantasy-friendly matchups in primetime on Sunday and Monday night, we should have some closer/more intense games.  After a quick glance, every potentially has someone playing one of those two nights.  The only player who looks like all of their players will finish before Sunday Night Football is Geoff, and he is the one who is least affected by bye weeks, so I doubt that changes.  Otherwise, it should make for a fun week of fantasy football with some good primetime games. 

Good luck to everyone this next week, except for Kyle.

Tuesday, October 9, 2018

Week 5.5

For whatever reason, being in St. George caused too much of a distraction to get my week 5 recap done.  So here goes nothing.

Skyler vs Trevor: Another Monday Night Football come from behind victory for Skyler.  This one was thanks to the newly reinstated Mark Ingram.  He had some help from the best game of the year for both Aaron Rodger and Demaryius Thomas.  Trevor was moderately unlikely that he was the 5th highest leading scorer of the week, but didn't have a good matchup.

Ren vs Geoff:  Alvin Kamara was allegedly (according to the projections) supposed to make it close, but it never happened and Geoff maintained his comfortable lead the whole night.

Jordan vs Chad: In the battle of less than stellar owners, Jordan had an illegal roster due to keeping Edelman in the IR spot too long, which meant he couldn't pick up a TE for the week, so he was down to 8 men on the roster.  Not to be outdone, Chad never removed Fournette from his lineup, and the only RB on his roster would have won him the game.  After a lengthy, heartfelt, emotional, and tearjerking conversation with Chad (I don't know if any of those words are accurate, I'm just trying to add some emotion and drama here), it was decided to bring on a co-owner to the team to help out.  So we welcomed back original member Tommy Leavitt to the league.  He helped Chad at the draft because Chad was absent for part of it due to a family vacation, so he should be familiar with the team.  It will be interesting to see how he can turn the last place team around.

TJ vs Brady:  The closest game of the week, TJ was projected to come from behind and win by 3ish points.  Instead, he ended up losing by 5ish, partly due to an injury to his running back who was getting lots of dump off passes at the end of the game.  It was an intense game all night.

Kyle vs Matt:  On a night that belonged to Drew Brees, Kyle rode his many accomplishments to a come from behind victory over Matt, and ended up winning by about 8 points.  When asked for comment, Kyle was sobbing into his Drew Brees jersey and said: "Who won that trade with Matt now?"  (only half of that last statement is true, I'll let you guess which half).

Tyler vs Rob: In what ended up being the shoot out of the week, the number one scorer of week 5 (Tyler) beat the number four scorer (Rob).  Oddly enough, even though Rob was the 4th highest scorer of the week, Tyler thumped him by a solid 20 points.  Tyler had a 2-3 point lead going into Sunday night with his QB still to play, and Rob being out of players.  Instead of taking a knee, Deshaun Watson piled on and led Tyler to the comfortable win.  His margin of victory moved him up into fourth place in the league, as he is now ahead of Matt on the points tiebreaker.

Looking forward to next week:

Skyler vs Tyler: Not only does it rhyme, but it's the highest matchup based on the current standings (1 vs 4).  They each have one Packer playing on Monday Night Football, so it should be a fun matchup.

Geoff vs Kyle: 8th place Geoff takes on 3rd place Kyle.  Yet Geoff has outscored Kyle by 40 this year.  He is projected to win this one by 20.  Who knows what will happen.  Kyle has two players on Monday Night though, so it could be another sweat it out night for him.

Chad/Tommy vs Ren:  Tommy looks to make his mark on the league as the last place team takes on the 6th place team (6th place being the last spot to make the playoffs).  Interestingly enough, only one game separates them, so I am Turbo (that's my nickname for them since Chad's team is "I am Batman", and I believe Tommy's teams were called "Turbo" or "Turbo Tommy" back in the day) can make up some ground this early in the season.  No Monday Night games for them at the moment.  After I am Turbo picks up a kicker, this will likely be the closest projected game of the week.

Brady vs Trevor:  Currently projected to be within in 4 points, this is looking like the most entertaining matchup of the week.  As of this writing, Brady has two players on Sunday Night Football and one on Monday Night Football, while Trevor has nothing after the early games except one Sunday afternoon game.  This may be another tense few nights for Brady next week.

Matt vs TJ: TJ may be in trouble this week as his MVP, Michael Thomas, is on a bye this week.  As of this moment, Matt is missing a defense (though it is on his bench) and TJ is missing a kicker, so the projections aren't super accurate, but as of this writing, the game should be decided by Sunday night since there are several players playing in primetime, with Matt being the early favorite.

Rob vs Jordan:  Another one where the current projections don't mean much thanks to incomplete lineups (due to bye weeks and illegal roster construction), this game should come down to Monday night as Rob has two different running backs who play that evening.

That is it for now, thanks for reading, sorry for being late, and good luck to everyone next week, except for Tyler.


Monday, October 1, 2018

Week 4: Quick Recap

I apologize to the 8 of you who wanted to read this.  I was working late, and then I had to pack my bag for my way too early flight tomorrow.  So I'm writing something quick because it's the right thing to do.

Skyler vs. Ren = Skyler squeezes out another win in the 4th quarter of Monday Night Football.

Trevor vs. Geoff = The battle between teams 10 and 11 (out of 12) goes to Trevor on a combined 60+ points from Andy Dalton and Jared Cook.  That was not a typo.

Chad vs. TJ = Last place Chad gets his first win over 3rd place TJ.  Upset of the week.  Chad's running backs: "Watch us cost Chad a chance at winning. TJ's Defense: "Hold my beer".

Brady vs. Jordan = Do you remember in NBA Live Volume whatever, when the announcer says something like "It's like a tank vs a dixie cup.  Who'd you think was going to win"?  I vaguely remember that, and it's what Brady did to Jordan this week.  Top scorer against the bottom scorer.  If you would have added Tyler's score (he was the third highest scorer of the week) to Jordan's score, he would have only beat Brady by 6.5

Matt vs. Tyler = Matt lost by 15, Sammy Watkins averages ~14 a game.  He got 0 tonight due to an injury.  I feel like we were cheated of a really close game, not that Tyler is complaining.

Kyle vs. Rob = The game of the week, it certainly didn't disappoint those who were following closely, except for Rob.  Kyle won by 0.68.  I'm a little disappointed that Emmanuel Sanders didn't hang onto the pitch from the hook and ladder, because I have no idea how it would have been scored.  I don't know if he would have been credited with the catch, or just the yards, but it would have possibly won Rob the game.  That was an intense ending.

There is only one matchup I care about next week.  And it is me vs. the St. George marathon.  The goal is to not get disqualified or die along the way.  I still want to beat Trevor, and I have another potential Monday Night miracle in Jordan Reed, but I'm not worried about that at the moment.  So good luck everyone next week.  Except for the slow pace guy at the marathon, and of course Trevor.

Monday, September 24, 2018

Week 3: No Witty Title

I have no cool title this week, oh well.  I had no good ideas. My apologies.  What I do have is a cool spreadsheet that shows you the latest standings before tomorrow comes around.  You can view them at this link here if you really want.  And if anyone wants to see the league page, click here.

As far as news this week, we had a few games come down to the wire-ish.

Ren beat Rob by 2.16.  It shouldn't have been that close, but Ren's only remaining player scored him a whopping 3.3 points.  Being down only 1.14 with a starting RB playing on Monday night should mean you are safe.  Ren squeaked by, but a win is a win.

Jordan beat Tyler by 12.04, but that didn't come about until the 4th quarter of the MNF game.

Trevor tried to pull a Jordan and get a Monday night miracle but ended up losing by 10 to Matt.  Unfortunately for him, DeSean Jackson came back down to earth this week.

The rest of the games were never really close or in question so we can skip over those.

Trevor was the unluckiest of the teams based on the fact that he was the 5th highest scorer but still lost.  And by far the luckiest team of this week was Geoff.  He was the 11th highest scorer (aka second lowest score), but he was lucky enough to play Chad, who was the lowest scorer of the week.  Chad trusted former Ute Alex Smith two weeks in a row over Cam Newton, and both times Cam would have led him to victory. Next week, Alex Smith is on bye.  Maybe he will lead Chad to his first victory of the year.

Looking forward to next week, Ren and Skyler are the best matchup based on standings (1 vs 4), while the lowest two matched up are Trevor and Geoff (10 vs 11).  We also have another Cousin Clash this week (Skyler vs Brady was the first Cousin Clash of the season, and it happened this last week), with the Bolivian Bowl, or maybe the Batlle of the Bolivians?

As far as games that likely have a Sunday night or Monday night games, the list is below with the format of the first number being Sunday night, and the second number being Monday night.

Skyler 0/2 vs Ren 0/0
Geoff 0/0 vs Trevor 3/0
Chad 1/0 vs TJ 0/0
Brady 0/0 vs Jordan 1/1
Matt 1/2 vs Tyler 2/0
Rob 0/2 vs Kyle 1/1

I have nothing else to say, so goodnight, and good luck...unless you are Ren.