Wednesday, October 20, 2021

Week 6: High Scores Will Continue Until Defenses Improve

Another week, another batch of high scores.  This week wasn't as high scoring as last week, but when you have someone who scored in the 140's and still lost, you know there were some high scores -- and some bad luck.

Game Recaps

Skyler vs Tyler: Skyler came crashing back to earth after his record-setting week and was lucky to cross 100, while the 'DHS class of 2007 biggest flirt' flirted with 170. This was easily the biggest blowout of the week.  If you look at the graph of points, Tyler led from wire to wire. Cooper Kupp had 34 points for Tyler, and there were 3 other members of the 20+ point club with Rodgers, Hill, and Jones.  Those 4 were enough to beat Skyler. Skyler had a couple of players with alright games (mid-teens), but no one got to the 20 point threshold.

Kyle vs Tommy: This was actually a relatively close game (10-15 points) until Josh Allen put things away on Monday Night.  Perhaps there was a world where Allen played poorly, and the Bills DST played great and Tommy got the win, but this felt like a foregone conclusion given the lead Kyle had and the year Josh Allen has had. Josh Allen led the way for Kyle's team with 34+ points, and Courtland chipped in with 24+ points of his own. For Kyle to score 140+ and only have 2 players score 20+ points is impressive and would seem to indicate that his team is a real threat. However, this game came at a cost with Kareem Hunt getting hurt and being moved to IR. Tommy scored 94 this week, which gives him an average of 100 over the last two weeks.  Maybe this is a blip and not a trend, but it's still a cause for concern. Mahomes played well and scored over 25 points, but Tommy's team won't unlock its full potential until CMC comes back.

Brandon vs Chad: This game was close going into Monday night, the Bills had a good running defense, and the Titan's fans in the league assumed the Bills would win and that Brandon had a chance to hold on to his 12 point lead over Chad and his only player remaining -- Derrick Henry.  The Last King said he didn't care about Brandon's team, and he decimated Brandon's night with one swift 76 yard TD early in the 2nd quarter. Quick aside, but what would it take for Henry to win the MVP? It's become "the best QB" award, but if he goes for back-to-back years with 2,000 yards, and the Titans finish as a top 3 team in the AFC, does he have a shot?  Would the Titans have to be the 1 seed for that to happen? Sorry, back to your regularly scheduled fantasy football nonsense. Brandon had Jones, Henderson, and Fant all score 20+, but it wasn't enough to overtake the King, his Knight -- Sir Leonard Fournette (30+ points), or his squire Jalen Hurts (27 points).

Trevor vs Brady: This was the weekly bonanza, and has been one of the few 300 points combined games that we've had this year.  Trevor was down roughly 26 going into the game with his QB and K vs Brady's WR.  Tannehill was able to hit that mark consistently last year, but this year has been a down year for him and he didn't even hit 13 this game, which essentially sealed Trevor's fate, even though his kicker got him 13 points. Brady didn't actually need anything from Emmanuel Sanders to win this game, but I'm sure he's not complaining about the 14 points he provided.  Trevor had two 24+ point players while Brady had some stud games from his two cowboys (30+ points each) and then 23+ points from each of his RB's.  This was Brady's first win of the season, and we no longer have any defeated or undefeated teams this year.  Maybe next year?

Matt vs TJ: The only person who hates Mondays more than Garfield hates Mondays is TJ. Devin Singletary did just enough to squeak out the half-point win for Matt.  This ended up being quite the QB duel as each QB scored between 33-35 points.  Matt had two players score over 20, while TJ didn't have any others. Matt had 5 players score single digits while TJ only had 3 players in the single digits. I think this is just another example of how your studs win you fantasy football, and you just have to hope that you have enough of them or enough weeks with random studs that they take you to the promised land. This was clearly the nail-biter of the night and week, while also being the Monday Night Miracle/Nightmare.

Rob vs Jordan: This ended up being the battle of ineptitude.  Rob didn't break 100, which certainly doesn't help, and Jordan only had in the low 120's.  I say 'only' somewhat facetiously since it's usually a good score and it keeps you competitive, but the last two weeks have just been on another level. Jordan got his win with Kyler getting him 33+ points, and Hopkins and Diggs scoring 20+.  Rob had a shot thanks to Brady, Harris, and Robinson averaging around 21 points, but was let down by several players -- his DST getting -1 was probably the nail in the coffin that caused him to throw in the towel and not pick up a kicker.

Award Season

MVP: Singletary has a strong case, but I'm giving this to the Cowboys duo of Dak and Ceedee for their big combined games, a walkoff TD to give them a huge boost (roughly 17.5 points), and Brady getting his first win.

LVP: Marquise Brown picked a bad week to have his season low in scoring.  He wins this award for not showing up for TJ in a tight matchup.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: I wanted to give this one TJ for his Monday Night, but I realized Trevor was the 3rd highest scorer of the week and still lost, so it's going to Trevor.

Luckiest Team of the Week: This one will go to Jordan who was the 8th highest scoring team of the week, but still got a win.

Game Previews

Welcome to the Bye-pocalypse! Based on my numbers below, I counted 30 potential starters/rotation players on bye, and 5 roster spots that have yet to be filled.  What an ugly week.

Skyler (5) vs Kyle (7): Skyler has 0 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. He has 2 players on bye. Kyle has 2 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 3 players on bye. With a total of 3 people in primetime (the weekly high), this has some potential for the Monday Night Miracle/Nightmare.

Brandon (9) vs Brady (12): Brandon has 3 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 2 players on bye. Brady has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 5 players on bye who are all potential starters depending on the matchup in a given week, and his team still doesn't have a TE. This is the early front runner for the battle of inteptitude.

Chad (2) vs Trevor (11): Chad has 0 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. He has 1 player on bye. Trevor has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 2 players on bye, and his team still doesn't have a DST.

Rob (6) vs TJ (10): Rob has 0 players on Thursday and1 player in primetime. He has 5 players on bye who are all potential starters depending on the matchup in a given week, and his team still doesn't have a K (that's normal for him) or a TE. TJ has 0 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. He has 2 players on bye.

Matt (8) vs Jordan (4): Matt has1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. He has 2 players on bye. Jordan has 1 player on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. He has 2 players on bye, and his team still doesn't have a K.

Tommy (3) vs Tyler (1): Tommy has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 1 player on bye. Tyler has 1 player on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 3 players on bye. This looks to be the game of the week and early favortire for the bonanza.  That is based on their reankings, and also because they appear to be some of the least decimated teams, while also having a high projected score.

Good luck to everyone but Kyle this week.

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