Thursday, September 11, 2025

Week 1: The Quest for Gr8ness

With the season now in full swing, we have started our quest to get to 8 wins.  I know it's too early to be thinking about the playoffs, but 8 wins has guaranteed you the playoffs every year in our history -- and it seemed like a fun title to put 8 in a word somehow.  Anyway, let's move on to the elephant in the room -- Rob tanked again week 1, but I'll cut him some slack since he actually picked up a K and DST, and they performed really well, and there was only 1 TE that was a FA that Rob could have picked up and got the win, but he wasn't on anyone's radar.  So shame on you Rob, but also thanks for making a better effort this week  -- as a reward, I will not bring back my Beauty and the Beast parody. Anyway, let's get to the good stuff.

Game Recaps

Skyler vs Tommy: As I started writing this post, I realized I hadn't actually looked at how all of the games went, and this was somehow the biggest blowout of the week. Tommy had a great showing from King Henry, who was 8 yards from 30 points.  Sadly for him, that was nearly 1/3 of his points this week. No one else got 20, and only 2 players beside Henry even scored double digits. Skyler didn't have anyone to match Henry, but three 20 point players (Daniels, Bijan, Deebo) and 3 other double digit scorers was enough for the most comfortable win of the week. This was also the battle of ineptitude with how low the total score was.

Scott vs Brady: The Weekly Bonanza was between the top 3 scorers, and was also a top 3 closest game of the week. Scott had three (Purdy, Flowers, and the Broncos DST) players who scored 20+ and another 4 in double digits. Against 10 other players, it would have been enough, but he played the top scorer.  Brady got the top scorer slot even though he only had 2 players (Herbert and Egbuka) scoring 20+ points.  It helped that Herbert had 33+, and having 5 other players in double digits certainly helps.  In this 7 point game, it's easy to point at any one person changing the outcome with one extra TD catch, but instead I will highlight the bottom two players on each team.  MAndrews and Ridley combined for 8.2 points on Scott's team, while Pollard (7.9) and Elliott (8), nearly beat that combination individually.

Matt vs Rob: Skyler 3, Brady 4, Sam 1, TJ 1, Tyler 1.  Those are the current win streaks for teams in week 1.  In case my explanation sucks, Skyler has won on week 1, 3 years in a row, Brady has won 4 years in a row on week 1, and Sam, TJ, and Tyler all just started their winning streak this year. Matt's streak is currently at 5 years.  You might say to yourself, "Self, that's not a big deal if Skyler and Brady are right there", and you would be right, but let's dig in a little deeper.  Skyler's average winning margin during that streak is 22 points, Brady's average winning margin is 19, and Matt's winning margin is 38 over his 5 game win streak.  

For actual game analysis, Matt only had one guy score 20+ (Mahomes) as did Rob (McArthy).  Rob actually had more players score double digits (5>4), and I already mentioned above that there wasn't a free agent tight end that would have got him the win.  Let's just call this karma?

Sam vs Trevor: Sam has the highest lifetime winning percentage in the league at 100%.  I'm sure this a sustainable rate, and the only way to end his reign of terror is to kick him out and bring Brandon back. This was the first Monday Nightmare/Miracle of the year, with Sam making a comeback by getting 14.8 from Justin Jefferson -- which isn't a lot for him historically, but it was enough. The real heavyweight fighter for Sam was Jalen Hurts being the lone 20+ point scorer in this whole match -- and he was the biggest difference as Trevor had more double digit scorers. As a side note for Sam, when I say double digit, that is specifically 10-19.99 scorers.  If someone is in the 20+ point category, I exclude them from the double digit group. Trevor was playing behind the 8 ball after AJ Brown's horrible Thursday night game.

TJ vs Jordan: This was the nail biter of the week, and was nearly a Monday Nightmare/Miracle as Jordan almost won thanks to Odunze, but instead fell 1.26 points short.  TJ's win came from having a well balanced team -- Puka was the only 20+ point scorer for his team, but the rest of his team all scored double digits. Jordan had Josh Allen score 42.76 of his 118.06 (36.2%), but couldn't get enough help from anyone else. I don't want to add salt to the wound -- oh who are we kidding, of course I do -- Jordan's kicker missed a  field goal, and TJ's kicker nailed a 50 yarder, which meant 2 bonus points.  If either one of those things are different, Jordan would have won.

Tyler vs Kyle: Last year, TJ was on a heater and was 'The King of the Court', but Kyle took it from him in the last game of the season by winning, but was still eliminated from the playoffs.  This is more for Sam, but the King of the Court, or sometimes referred to as The Belt, or even The Crown, was an idea that I got from somewhere about having a king of the court who maintains his title until he is beaten.  There were two arguments about when to start the belt -- Did Jordan start with it in the first game of our post mission league since he was the champion before we left, or was there no king of the court that first year until the first champion was crowned (Geoff), and then that person had the belt going forward? I tracked both for a while just to see how it rotated, and they were eventually unified, making my job easier. Most times, the champion finishes with the belt, but last year was not one of those times. We did decide the belt would not be passed during the consolation bracket, and so Kyle won the belt from TJ, and then held it throughout the consolation bracket since he missed the playoffs.

Anyway, Kyle opened the season as the King of the Court but he lost it in the back and forth game he had with Tyler.  Tyler won King of the Court thanks to 30+ points from Lamar, and another 23 points from CMC.  Kyle tried with Mayfield and James Cook getting 20+, and they each had 3 double digit scorers, and Tyler even had a negative scorer, but it wasn't enough for Kyle to hold on.

Award Season

MVP: Justin Herbert was the highest scorer on the highest scoring team in a game that was decided by 6.64, so he wins this weeks award.

LVP: AJ Brown scored 1.8 in game that was decided by 6.6, so he will be the LVP this week.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: Scott would have 10 teams this week, but played the 1 team who could beat him.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Sam was the lowest scoring winner, and only won after a Jefferson scored 8.3 points in one play in the 4th quarter of Monday Night Football.

High Scorer of the Week: Brady comes in hot week 1, and is the only person to score 140+.

Low Scorer of the Week: Tommy starts out slow and is the only person under 100 this week.

King of the Court: As discussed above, Tyler is now the King of the Court after beating Kyle.

Green Jacket: Do we want to bring this back?  Sorry, does anyone besides Tommy want to bring it back?

Game Previews

Skyler (2) vs Scott (7): Skyler has 2 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. Scott has 0 player on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. If one week of points is anything to go on, this has the potential to be the bonanza.

Tommy (12) vs Brady (1): Tommy has 1 player on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. Brady has 0 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. If one week of points is anything to go on, this has the potential to be the blowout of the week.

Sam (6) vs Matt (3): Sam has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. Matt has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. In the running for the bonanza if we are going off of standings.

Rob (10) vs Trevor (11): Rob has 0 players on Thursday and 3 players in primetime. Trevor has 2 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. In the running for the battle of ineptitude if we are going off of standings.

Tyler (4) vs TJ (5): Tyler has 0 players on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. TJ has 1 player on Thursday and 3 playesr in primetime. In the running for the bonanza if we are going off of standings.

Jordan (8) vs Kyle (9): Jordan has 0 players on Thursday and 3 players in primetime. Kyle has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. In the running for the battle of ineptitude if we are going off of standings.

With two games on Monday night this next week, almost every matchup will be affected by Monday.  The only one that doesn't is Tyler vs TJ.  I'm sure TJ is thrilled to not be the victim of a Monday Nightmare.

Good luck to everyone but Scott this week.

Sunday, August 17, 2025

2025 Draft Recap

It wasn't our best turnout, but 8 of 12 in person and 3 of the 4 remote were online -- given this stage of our lives, I see that as an absolute win.

I never heard how the pre-draft golf went, but congrats to whoever won.

The post-draft ranking tools are getting a little better.  Instead of having to copy and paste everything in, I can provide you all with one link.  

The staple of league rankings is football guys, and they have upped their game this year. https://www.footballguys.com/rate-my-team/2025/stg-2  Once you're on that site you can see what everyone is ranked, you can update your settings to get either praised or roasted, you can choose each team from the main page, and you can even pick by positions and see which teams are the best and worst in the league at those positions.  The one problem with this site is that they kept Brandon's name instead of Sam's name.  So just know that dinkin flicka means ojo.

A quick recap of the football guys rankings:

A Grades: TJ

B Grades: Sam, Tyler, Kyle, Scot

C Grades: Skyler, Brady, Tommy, Matt, Trevor, Rob

D Grades: Jordan

FantasyPros is another site I often use for league rankings. They don't provide a link to review the grading, so I'll paste the screenshots below: 



Finally, this next screenshot comes from FantasyFootballRanker. No idea if they're good, but it was easy to use and easy to read. Link for those interested - https://fantasyfootballranker.com/league_rankings_nfl/?leagueId=721

Screenshot for those who don't want to click


TJ, Kyle, and Sam appear in the top 4 in all 3 rankings, and Jordan is at the bottom in all 3 rankings. Obviously, take this all with a grain of salt because 1) It's all just projections and guessing and 2) a majority of the league did not draft DST or keepers, and their scores would go up if they had drafted a full roster. 








Friday, August 15, 2025

Draft Day Eve: A Visit From ST. Goodell

‘Twas the night before draft day and all through the league, everyone was excited, especially defending champ Teej,


The draft board was hung on the wall that was darker, with all owners hoping to get their favorite color marker. 


The former champs had all finished their special dinner, while those not invited hoped to be this season's big winner. 


The trophy on the mantle, and TJ in his G’s, looking at his sleeper list and wishing “oh please”


When on the text chain there arose such a noise, a discussion of golf in the morning with the boys


Away to fantasypros I flew like a flash, in hopes to get in a few more mock drafts


The keepers were tricky and no one did know, to which team in the morning their favorite players would go


When to my glee I saw my keeper inbound, what great value, Jayden Daniel’s in the 6th round!


But then I saw things that did ruin my plan, in the 5th round -- Sam’s keeping Achane


More rapid than cheetah, the keepers they came, and now sadly I will list them by name


Nabers, Jakobi, and Brian Thomas (the little), all good tight ends - McBride, Bowers and Kittle!


From the top of the window to the top of the wall, until they all, till they all — till they all crawl?


I'm mixing up my references this is simply a mess, back I go to “A Visit from St. Nicholas”


On second thought, no, this is taking too long, and most of my draft prep time is now nearly gone


So I’ll end this early, my own fun remix, and get ready to win championship number 6


But before my bold claim leads to a league fight, happy draft day to all, and to all a good night. 

Monday, January 6, 2025

Week 17: Thnks fr th Mmrs (Let Mr Goodtimes Roll)

Let's not bury the lede, congratulations to TJ on winning his first STG Fantasy Football League Championship!

I knew if TJ won that I wanted to do a specific video celebrating his win, but I am a terrible video/photoshop editor.  It's from The Return of the King (specific link here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FjZY2EfR-f8) and I would have photoshopped TJ's head over Aragorn giving the speech. When he says "Stand, men of the West", I would have put the faces of Tyler, Kyle, and Jordan, as well as people from TJ's team all pulling their swords out. In the opposing army, it would have been Matt, people from his team, and then Brady, Rob, and me in the corner somewhere -- not because we were inherently against TJ, but just because of the theme last week of West vs Blue Bloods.  Anyway, unfunny descriptions aside, let's get to the game recap.

Game Recap

Things started on Christmas with Worthy, Schultz, and Tucker for Matt, while TJ only had the Chiefs DST. Worthy was a bright spot for Matt as he saved his best game for the last game of the season. Schultz had a bottom 5 game of his for the season. Tucker was middle of the road by his standards. The Chiefs had their second-best game of the season in the championship, with their best game also happening in the playoffs (when TJ beat Rob by a narrow 3 points). I'm not saying they were the playoff MVP, but they definitely pulled their weight in the postseason.

Thursday saw Matt trot out JSN and Charbonnet to awful and middle-of-the-road results respectively. JSN hadn't scored single digits since week 7, and the only other times he did this season before that were weeks 1 and 3.  For someone who was a revelation all year for a 9th round pick, he let down Matt in the biggest week of the year.

Saturday is when the championship trajectory really became clear -- to the point TJ tempted fate and spat in the face of the Fantasy Gods -- but more on that later

Matt had Ja'Marr Chase, who much like the rest of Matt's team, decided to stay in the middle-of-the-road with 19.2 points.  Let me be clear, 19.2 is a good week for most people, and for most teams in a given week, they would be happy with their top WR on the week scoring 19.2 points. 19.2 points a game multiplied by 16 games gets you 307.2 points on the season, which would have been the 4th best WR on the year.  However, Ja'Marr chase is not most WR -- he was the #1 WR this year and scored 403 points this year (25 points a game), and 85 points better than #2 ARSB. If he had hit his average and scored the 6 extra points, it wouldn't have given Matt the win.  It's just that you need your best WR to be at their best in the championship, especially when 1) that WR real-life QB goes off for 4 total TD's [while you have 0], and 2) said real-life QB is playing for the fantasy opposition.

TJ had an outstanding game from Burrow in the finals, as he went for 42.98 points (it was his second best game of his season, less than 1 point from his season high), with 4 total touchdowns, and 0 of them going to Chase, which led to this exchange:


Assuming you have normal eyes and can't zoom in properly, that's just a gif of someone saying 'you jinxed it'.  Most members of the fantasy league would try and reverse jinx their opponents, but not Mr. Goodtimes. Thankfully for him, Puka got the memo and put up a top 3 game for his season and actually outscored Ja'Marr Chase.

I don't want to say it was all over from that point, but Matt needed a miracle from his remaining players, and while he needed a total collapse from TJ.  There was a brief scare for TJ and a glimmer of hope for Matt when Ford went out early, but Bowers was right down the middle for his season, while JT put up his 2nd best game of the season. Drake London was down the middle as well, but it was his best game in nearly 2 months. On Matt's side, the Eagles DST actually had their 2nd best game of the season, but it wasn't enough to boost him back up after Cook put up a bottom 4 performance for the year, while Goff put up a top 3 game for his year, but was only 'really really good', but not phenomenal on MNF.

In the end, TJ ended up winning by nearly 20 points, and as mentioned last week, is the first person to newly join the champions club since Brady in 2018.  He is the first person from the West to win since Tyler in 2013.

Award Season

MVP: Joe Burrow

LVP: Ja'Marr Chase and JSN

End-of-Season Recaps

Interesting Players of Note: Michael Pittman just went back to back in our league. Justin Tucker would have gone back-to-back if Matt had won. Dalton Schultz has lost back-to-back championships. Justin Jefferson had appeared in back-to-back championships before this year, but missed the championship this time around. At least he had an LSU teammate on both rosters this year. Ja'Marr Chase has appeared in 2 of the last 3 championships, and Joe Burrow has appeared (and won) 2 of the last 4 championships. It looks like you have to go all the way back to 2019 to find roster in the championship without an LSU Tiger involved as Fournette appeared in the 2020 game for Trevor.

I'll do some quick awards with some gut feelings and light stat-checking on the best and worst pick from each round of the draft -- although worst will disappear at round 10.

BestWorst
1BijanCMC
2SaquonMahomes
3EvansMcBride
4KamaraPittman
5KittleKincaid
6PollardPitts
7BTJZamir White
8BowersChristian Kirk
9JSNBrooks
10Rico
11Dobbins
12Mooney
13Goff
14Hubbard
15Mason

Award Season Recaps

This isn't to say the team was the highest scoring team on the season, or the luckiest team over the whole season, but who won the season-long awards the most times.

Luckiest: Matt won this award in 4 different weeks.

Unluckiest: Tommy and Brady each won this award in 3 different weeks. It makes sense you would win this award so much when you play in the historically toughest division.

Highest: TJ has the most wins at 3, and wins this award. Matt, Jordan, and Trevor all won the award twice this season.  Skyler, Tommy, and Rob were the only teams to never win it this year

Lowest: Skyler has the most 'wins' at 4. Tyle, Kyle, and Matt each have 2. In the 0 appearances club are TJ, Jordan, Trevor, and Scott.

Draft of Draft Order Standings - to be picked around Memorial Day
  1. Kyle
  2. Tyler
  3. Skyler
  4. Scott
  5. Brandon
  6. Tommy
  7. Rob
  8. Trevor
  9. Brady
  10. Jordan
  11. Matt
  12. TJ

Thank you all for the season, I look forward to having you as friends again instead of rivals. Congrats again to TJ on the first trophy, and being the first name on the 4th side of the trophy.  Only 5 more seasons until we need to attach an extension at the bottom!