Another week, another column (in my head it went with a Jay-Z line of “another day, another dollar”…just go with it), and another chance to talk about the crazy things that happened. Except, the crazy stuff I wanted to see happen didn’t happen, and I’m a little disappointed. Had Geoff and Brady won it would have made the wild card race even more fun, and the South division would be a little messier. Instead they both lost, and the South is still messy – just at the top and not for 2nd and 3rd in the division. Oh well.
Trevor now has a one game lead over the entire West division, and Chad has a two game lead. Right now it looks like each division will get 2 teams in the playoffs. Interestingly enough, if the playoff started today (which they don’t and I sometimes hate when media does this, but I’m doing it anyway) Chad would play Trevor and the winner would play me, and Jordan and Tyler would play each other and the winner would play Ren. So Jordan will jump from the 6th seed to the 3rd seed, and Tyler goes from 6 to 3, but they would still play each other. I doubt everything stays the same the next three weeks, but if that somehow does, they would be fighting for the division championship, but the better seed wouldn’t do them any good. Maybe the lowest of the division winners shouldn’t be given the 3 seed automatically. Just a thought.
Next week division games begin again, so we should see division races tighten up. Chad and Trevor each have a magic number of 1 to clinch their division. The South is still a mess, with the top two teams being 5-4, and then Konner being one game behind, while Kyle is two games behind. Kyle could win out and finish no worse than second in his division. If he won out, and Konner beat both Tyler and Jordan, Kyle could win the division, though that’s not likely. I suppose Tyler and Jordan could tie in their game, but that’s very unlikely, so basically the future winner of that game has an additional game lead over Konner and Kyle. We just won’t know who that is until the last week of the season. Ren and I cannot finish behind Kyle, Konner, Jordan, Tyler, Matt, Rob, Geoff, or Brady. So we have gotten into the playoffs. We could still lose the division titles, so we aren’t guaranteed a bye, but we are in the playoffs. Chad can’t finish behind Geoff, Brady, Matt or Kyle – so while not guaranteed a spot if he were to lose out, he is in pretty good shape. Trevor can’t finish behind Brady or Kyle, but that appears to be it.
Now that we know who is for sure in, let’s take a look at who is for sure out. Matt and Brady can’t finish ahead of Me, Ren, Chad, and Trevor. So even they aren’t eliminated from what I can tell. To get in they would both need to win out, have Geoff and Rob lose out, and then either Tyler or Jordan to lose out (for this example, we will say Tyler since he has less points). So if Jordan won out, and Tyler lost out, they would need Kyle to beat Konner. Then Jordan would finish 8-5, Tyler would finish 5-8, Konner would finish 5-8, and Kyle would finish 5-8, and then Brady and Matt would finish 5-8, Rob would finish 4-9 and Geoff would finish 3-10. And then only one of those 5-8 teams would make it. If there is a Santa, I have a new Christmas wish – please make this happen! So realistically they won’t make the playoffs, but it could happen. However, they both won’t make the playoffs even if this did happen, so one of them is for sure eliminated, we just don’t know who yet. That last week would be stressful. All the right teams have to lose, and then everyone would worry about scoring the most points to win the tiebreaker. And that’s if I did my math right just now.
So next week I think we can start eliminating people from the playoffs, but I hope not. I don’t have much more to say about this week, other than I finally beat Konner in this league. I am in two leagues with him, and I have beaten him in the other league before, but never this one. It feels good. But I’m sure he’s ok with it because they had a great comeback against Stansbury last week. 5 straight touchdowns in the last quarter and the last 5 seconds of the 3rd quarter to get the com from behind victory. They play pine view this week at Rice Eccles. So good luck to Dixie next week, and good luck to my miracle 5-8 scenario. Also, I went 4-2 last week with my bye week advantages. I was part of the 2 that I got wrong, so I'm ok with that, and the other was the Brady vs. Rob toss up.
Weekly Record: 3-1
Year to Date: 29-11