Thursday, December 2, 2021

Week 12: We're In The Endgame Now

We're back to division rivalries, and the path to the playoffs is crystalizing for everyone.  After this week, some people have clinched, and others have already been eliminated.  Dread it, run from it, elimination arrives (except for the champion) all the same -- for some it's week 12, for the runner up, it's week 17.

Game Recaps

Skyler vs Tommy: Skyler is the highest scorer of the week, Tommy is the lowest scorer of the week, which means this was easily the blowout of the week. Skyler's best scorer was his DST, which was only 29 points.  I say only not because that's low for a defense (obviously not), but that for a lot of the high-scoring teams, you will see players with 30+ points.  There were 4 other teams this week that had players score 30+ points. Skyler had five players score 20+, including Dillon, Gibson, Deebo, Folk, and the aforementioned Miami DST. Tommy was let down by his 4 panthers players, in part because they sucked on their own, and because their suckage contributed to the Miami DST doing as well as they did. Tommy didn't have anyone score 20+ points, and CMC is now out for the year.

Jordan vs TJ: Stop me if you've heard this before "Stop me if you've heard this before 'Stop me if you've heard this before, but TJ had a lead going into Monday night but lost the game anyway'".  Hold up, I'm just getting word that Seattle sucks and and TJ won by double digits.  I wouldn't say the curse is broken, but it must be nice to occasionally break out of the loop. TJ's fantasy MVP, Cordarelle, came back from injury, and was the highest scorer of the game, and TJ's only player of 20+.  Jordan had two players over 20+ (Wentz and Diggs), but they didn't do enough to ocercome the poor play of the rest of the team.

Kyle vs Tyler: This was a great game, with some nail-biting and miracles/nightmares occuring -- however it doesn't officially win any of those awards as another match was closer. Kyle was able to come from behind on Monda night thanks to 22+ points from JD McKissic.  He ended up leaving the game injured, but not before he did enough to secure Kyle a huge upset, but a hollow victory as he is the only person to be mathematically 100% eliminated. Kyle's 3rd highest score of the week was made possible by 3 players going 20+ (including his kicker) in addition to Josh Allen going for 30+. Tyler ended up as the 4th leading scorer, and only had one player cross the 20 point threshhold.  Aaron Rodgers and his broken toe dropped 30 points in this match, but unfortunately, the rest of Tyler's team dropped the ball. This is only Tyler's 3rd loss of the year, and it takes him from solely in first place, to solely in first place.  Flowers and other donatcions can be sent to his house as a way to console him through this dark time.

Matt vs Rob: What a ride this game was.  Matt took an early lead, then Rob took it back, then Matt took it back again, and then Rob took it back during MNF on the back of Tyler Lockett.  Matt tried to take it back from on the final drive, but came up just 2 yards short. This gets the nail-biter of the night and the week, and is also the Monday Night Miracle/Nightmare. This game had two 20+ point scorers from Matt (Stafford and Mitchell), and one 20+ point scorer from Rob (Ekeler).  The only thing this game didn't have was offense, as neither team broke 100 points, and won the battle of ineptitude for the week.  But don't worry everyone, these two are tied at the top of their division at 5-7, and one of them will likely make the playoffs, but more on that later.

Chad vs Brady: Chad had former B EZ staple, Joe Mixon drop 32 on his former team.  However, that made up over 1/3 of this total points for the week, as Brady curbstomped Chad thanks to some of Chad's former players (44net and Keenan Allen [15]) going off when it mattered most. Chad had no other players go for 20+, while Brady had Prescott go for 29+ on Thanksgiving. Brady continues his hot streak and has won 7 games in a row. He was the second leading scorer with 154 points, and he only had 2 points combined from his K and TE.  Everyone else on his team hit 12+ points.  There are a few teams out there who hope his hot streak stops ASAP, but more on that later.

Brandon vs Trevor:  This was an ugly game from a player particiaption side.  The players affected by bye weeks, inactive before the game, injured during the game, or were on a pitch count from a previous include AJ Brown, Amari Cooper, Aaron Jones, Kadarius Toney, Darrell Henderson, DeAndre Swift, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, Travis Kelce, and the Cardinals DST.  It won't surprise you that this was the second lowest scoring game of the week.  Trevor managed to get the win though thanks to 20+ point performances from Thielen and Higgins, while Brandon only had Herbert cross that mark.

Award Season

MVP: I am splitting this award between McKissic and Lockett since they got their teams the win this week.

LVP: DK Metcalf needed 2.5 points to bail Matt out.  He got 2.3.  Not sure if it's a career low, but it was definitely a season low.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Rob would have beaten 4 teams with his 93.14 points this week -- lucky for him, he faced off against one of them.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: Only 3 teams could have beat Tyler this week, and he played #3 on that list.

Highest Scoring Team of the Week: Skyler wins this for the 3rd time this year, and is the second person to win it in back to back weeks (Matt went back to back in weeks 7 and 8).

Lowest Scoring Team of the Week: Tommy becomes the second person to 'win' this award twice this season.  He is the first person to pull a 'double-double' and have 2 highest scoring weeks and 2 lowest scoring weeks.

Playoff Update

The only person to be truly 100% eliminated from the playoffs is Kyle, thanks to Brady's win.  Jordan, TJ, Rob, and Matt are all alive in the wild card race since they are at 5-7, and current low wild card team Brady is at 7-5 with two games to go -- if he loses out, and any of those teams win out, they could beat him out for the last spot if they win the tiebreaker. As soon as Brady wins, or any of those teams lose, they are eliminated.  

Everyone from the South is still alive to win the division, though Brandon and Trevor cannot make the playoffs as a wildcard team. Every game will be big from here on it in this division. If the underdogs win this week, they will all be 5-8 going into the last week of the season.

With a 3-way tie for first place in the North, and with 4th place only a game behind, the division race is open for everyone. The most intriguing situation would be for Chad and Brady to win this week, and then it would still be anyone's division going into the final week.

Tyler won the West already, but Jordan and TJ still have an outside shot at the division (see above).  This division has the least drama by far.

Game Previews

Skyler (2) vs Chad (3): Skyler has 1 player on Thursday and 3 players in primetime. He has 3 players on bye, and is still missing a starting RB2. Chad has 0 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. The winner of this will lead the division going into the final week.

TJ (8) vs Tyler (1): TJ has 1 player on Thursday and 1 player1 in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. Tyler has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. He has 2 players on bye. 

Kyle (11) vs Jordan (9): Kyle has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. He has 2 players on bye. Jordan has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. 

Matt (7) vs Brandon (12): Matt has 0 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. Brandon has 2 players on Thursday and 3 players in primetime. He has 1 player on bye. 

Tommy (4) vs Brady (5): Tommy has 1 player on Thursday and 2 players in primetime. He has 2 players on bye. Brady has 2 players on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. This game is the most impactful on the 5-7 teams trying to make the playoffs.

Trevor (10) vs Rob (6): Trevor has 1 player on Thursday and 1 player in primetime. He has 1 player on bye. Rob has 0 players on Thursday and 0 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. 

Playoff Scenarios

Bye week: Tyler
In playoffs: Chad, Skyler, and Tommy.
Win and in: Brady
Out: Kyle
Out with a loss or Brady win: TJ and Jordan
Out with a loss: Trevor and Brandon
Not in, not out, can't clinch, can't be eliminated this week: Rob and Matt

Good luck to everyone but Chad this week.

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