Tuesday, November 7, 2017

Week 10 Interesting Groups

This week is the last week before we get back to division games, which means it's the last week where you can get a win and everyone else in your division can get a loss.  So for those looking to catch up or pull away, this is a big week.

Here is a look at the importance of the upcoming games.

Chad vs Matt and Brady vs Rob:
I grouped these together because it's the top team in the north vs the top team in the south, and the second-best team in the north vs the second-best team in the south.  While it is likely that the winners of the North and South will get the bye weeks, this week will basically solidify whether the North will get the 1 seed, or if the South has a chance to steal it.  If both North teams win, it will give Brady a 3 game lead over the South, and Chad a 2 game lead (with 3 games left to go).  If both of the South teams win, it would mean that Matt, Rob, and Chad would all be tied, and Brady would be only 1 game ahead.

Skyler vs TJ and Tyler vs Ren:
Here we have the top two teams in the west going against the two guys who are currently battling it out for the wild-card spot.  A Ren win with a Skyler loss would put Ren ahead on tie-breakers for the last spot in the playoffs.  A Skyler win and a Ren loss would give Skyler a two-game lead.  If they both win or both lose, it doesn't change anything between them, but if they both lose, it would give the west a chance to get one of the wild-card spots.

A Tyler win and a TJ loss will put Tyler up by one game (which he needs to happen as he is behind points).  A TJ win and a Tyler loss will give TJ a one-game lead in addition to his points tie-breaker.  If they both win, nothing will change between them, but it would keep Jordan and Kyle at bay, and it would mean they would be tied with Ren's record and only a game behind Skyler -- which would mean one game back of the last wildcard spot.  So while they are desperately cheering for the other to lose, they can still benefit if they both win.

So this week Skyler and Tyler are cheering for each other, and Ren and TJ are cheering for each other.

Trevor vs Kyle and Jordan vs Geoff:
The Loser Leaves Town group.  I won't say that the losers will definitively be eliminated from the playoffs because it would depend on a lot of the other games, but it is very likely that the losers will not be able to make the playoffs.  It will still be a tall task for the winners to make the playoffs, but it would still be possible.

After this week, we will be back in division play.  Just as a reminder while you are thinking about how you can still make the playoffs, here are the possible win/loss combinations of a division during the 3 division games.  3-0, 2-1, 1-2, and 0-3 or 2-1, 2-1, 1-2, and 1-2 or 3-0, 1-2, 1-2, 1-2.  So if you are planning on winning out your division games, just remember to give some other teams in your division a few wins.  Sadly, you can't go 3-0 while the rest of your division goes 0-3.

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