Wednesday, December 2, 2020

Week 12: We Finally Have Cannon Blasts

One day, I am going to learn video editing with photoshop or something, and when someone is officially eliminated from playoff contention (or from the playoffs), I want to play the cannon blast scene from the Hunger Games, and have each person's image projected on the screen.  Instead, you will just have to imagine four cannon blasts, one for TJ, Jordan, Skyler, and Tommy.

Game Recaps

Skyler vs Chad: In the upset of the week, number 12 Skyler took down number 2 Chad. In doing so, he opened the door for Brady to get the bye week, and Chad could potentially drop to the 4th or 5th seed.  But more on that later.  This game saw Skyler lead by over 100 points on Thursday night.  At one point, Chad was still projected to win, but season lows by Miles Sanders, Tyler Lockett, and Dalvin Cook (eliminating games he didn't play in) did him in.  Skyler got big games from AJ and Hollywood Brown, and Diontae Johnson -- all from his bench.  In all seriousness, he got a season-high score from Deshaun Watson, Duke Johnson, and a career-high score from Antonio Gibson.  This was also the weekly bonanza, and beat out Matt vs Brandon for that honor by ~6 points.

Brady vs Tommy: Josh Allen had a bye last week, so this was his first week with his new team.  He put up one of the lower games of his season at 17.48 points, but that didn't matter too much as three other guys on Brady's team outscored him, and two other guys still put up 16 points.  Tommy had several solid performances, but only James Robinson scored 25+ points.  In terms of other narratives and matchups within this matchup, this game was Carson's first start since Tommy traded for him. He acquired Carson by trading Montgomery to Skyler.  Skyler eventually traded him to Brady.  This week, Montgomery had his revenge game against Tommy by having his season-high score of 25 points.  Also, Brady's kicker scored 21 points this week.

Matt vs Brandon: If I had told you before this game started, that Kyler Murray and Melvin Gordon combined for 11 points, how many of you would have bet on Brandon to win? Maybe that bet would have evened up Matt's tab with Tyler, because Matt managed to win anyway.  Before this game, Kyler didn't score fewer than 24 points.  This week he had fewer than 8.  It didn't matter because Will Fuller V had XXXV points (a season-high), and season-high scores from Engram, Dan Bailey (kickers are people too), and over 73 points combined from DK, Kenyan, and the Saints DST.  Brandon had a normally great week at 133 points, but that only made him the 7th highest scorer of the week.  Brandon is sobbing all the way to first place -- but he could potentially move to the 5th seed next week.  Again, more on that later.

Trevor vs Rob: This was the beat down of the week. Most games were around 20 points apart, but this one ended at more than 55 (insert fantasy footballers sound drop here) points apart.  Trevor put the beatdown on by playing Tyreek Hill during one of the greatest games of all time.  Switching to real football for a moment, I really do enjoy watching the Chiefs (I know, that's super controversial), and seeing Tyreek this last week was watching greatness. I obviously want the Titans to win the Superbowl every year, but if we get the Chiefs playing in it every year, that's not a bad consolation prize.  Back to fantasy -- Ekeler and Samuel came back healthy, and nearly combined for 50 points.  Between those two and Tyreek, Trevor would have beaten Rob as they combined for over 100 points.  Rob was let down by most of his team, but no one more than Derek Carr.  If we round to the nearest point, Derek Carr got 1 point.  If we want to round to the nearest half-point, he got 0.5 points.  Four turnovers did him in as he scored 0.6 points this week.  That helped Rob be under 100 points for the week.  This week, the league averaged 130 points -- Rob scored nearly 35 points fewer than the league average.

TJ vs Tyler: Speaking of 35 points fewer than league average, let's talk about TJ. He had four guys score in the single digits, and only one guy score over 20. Tyler put the beatdown on with a season-high from Chubb, and 20+ point games from Rodgers and Evans. This was a really good week for Tyler, especially since Zeke and Kamara combined for 9.1 points.  Imagine telling the league on draft day that they would combine for 9.1 points in week 12.  It's been a weird year for sure.  

Kyle vs Jordan: Kyle won this game and locked in the 3 seed.  Mathematically he could move up, but it won't happen -- again, more on that later.  This was the nail-biter of the week, as it was the closest game.  It wasn't that much of a nail-biter though as they were about 17 points apart.  This was also the battle of ineptitude as they combined for the lowest combined score this week.  Kyle secured the win by getting a combined 50 points from Fitzpatrick and Allen Robinson.  Speaking of which, I'm glad Fitzpatrick got a chance to start again. Jordan tried to keep it close with good to solid games from Tonyan, the Cardinals DST, and Justin Jefferson.  Unfortunately, he didn't get the miracle he needed from Gus Edwards on Wednesday Afternoon Football.  The Gus Bus scored a TD late in the first quarter to give Jordan hope, but then did nothing else the rest of the game, which was odd given Dobbins and Ingram were out.

Award Season

Pick 'em: Skyler wins again, by getting 13 right, while Tyler got 11, and Tommy got 9.  Tommy does lead with 111 for the season, and Tyler right behind him with 109.

Highest Scorer of the Week:  It's Skyler for back to back weeks.  This is the highlight of his season given how the rest of his season has gone.

Lowest Scorer of the Week:  TJ was one of two teams under 100 points -- unfortunately, he was 0.8 points behind Rob for this award.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Kyle was the 8th lowest scorer of the week, but he still won, so he wins the award this week.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: Chad was the 6th highest scorer, but still lost, so he wins this award this week.

MVP: Tyreek. Hill.

LVP: There weren't any super close games where I could pick on someone for coming up short.  This goes to 0.6 Derek Carr.

Game Previews

As a note, there are no Thursday night games, and this is the last week of byes. Primetime will be Sunday night football and beyond (so all of Monday and Tuesday next week).

Skyler (10) vs Brady (4): Skyler has three players in primetime. He has one player on bye. Brady has three players in primetime. He has no players on bye.

Chad (3) vs Tommy (11): Chad has two players in primetime. He has one player on bye. Tommy has three players in primetime. He has two players on bye.

Trevor (2) vs Matt (7): Trevor has four players in primetime. He has no players on bye. Matt has one player in primetime. He has no players on bye.

Brandon (1) vs Rob (8): Brandon has three players in primetime. He has one player on bye. Rob has five players in primetime (assuming Julio is healthy and Rob plays him). He has no players on bye.

Kyle (5) vs TJ (9): Kyle has one player in primetime. He has two players on bye. TJ has two players in primetime. He has three players on bye.

Tyler (6) vs Jordan(12): Tyler has two players in primetime. He has two players on bye. Jordan has one player in primetime. He has no players on bye.

Playoff Previews

Eliminated - Skyler, Tommy, TJ, and Jordan.

Playoffs clinched - Chad, Brady, Brandon, Trevor, and Kyle

Playoffs TBD - Matt, Rob, and Tyler.

Bye's clinched: None. 

  • Brandon can clinch with a win OR a Trevor loss. If he loses, and Trevor wins, it will come down to tie-breakers
  • Brady/Chad/Kyle - clinch if one wins and the other two loses.  If all win (or all lose), Chad currently leads by fewer than 19 points over Brady, so it's still within reach for Brady to catch Chad on points.  Kyle is currently 60 points behind Brady and 80 points behind Chad, so the only realistic way he clinches a bye is if he wins and the other two loses.
  • Trevor can clinch with a win AND a Brandon loss AND factoring in the above scenarios.
  • Current lead on points if it comes down to a 5 way tie
    • Trevor 1586
    • Brandon 1582
    • Chad 1577
    • Brady 1558
    • Kyle 1497

Divisions clinched: Kyle (West).

Wild Card Scenarios:

  • The two lowest winning/scoring team of the 5 teams above
  • The highest winning/scoring team of Matt, Rob, and Tyler.
    • None of them play each other this week, so there is no elimination game between them.
    • If one wins, and the other two loses, he is the 6 seed.  No offense to TJ, but Tyler has the easiest matchup by far.
    • Current lead on points if it comes down to a 3 way tie
      • Tyler 1606
      • Matt 1596
      • Rob 1394
    • If all three lose, but Matt outscores Tyler, he could move into 6th.

Good luck to Brady (I won't be throwing my game, don't worry), Chad, Trevor, Rob, Kyle, and Tyler this week.  That would make the most chaos at the top, but less chaos at the bottom.

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