The YLE's (skYLEr, tYLEr, and kYLE) are all 5-7 and could mathematically catch Trevor who is at 7-5. They are all behind on points, but Tyler and Kyle could reasonably make that up in two weeks, Skyler would have to out score Trevor by 70+ points each of the next two weeks to catch him. If they all won out, Trevor lost out, and the 6-6 teams won, Trevor could still be eliminated. So as the title said, the math says it's possible, but the probability of it is low -- similar to BYU making the CFP.
Game Recaps
Skyler vs Tommy: This was projected as the battle of ineptitude for good reason, but instead it ended up being the bonanza. The game was decided by less than 4 points, but it wasn't even the Weekly or Nightly Nail Biter, or the Monday Nightmare/Miracle. Games this close often come down to one or two plays, or one or two decisions. For example, if Skyler had kept Elliott instead of Seibert, he would have won by 0.08. On the other side, if Tommy's kicker doesn't miss a couple of field goals, this is a double-digit win and we aren't even having this conversation. Tommy was led to victory by 3 players scoring 20+ (Stack of Nix and Sutton, and Scary Terry), while Skyler only had 2 (Daniels and Waddle). The biggest difference in this game though was seen with the single-digit scorers. Skyler had 4 people score single digits, while Tommy only had 1. This win guarantees Tommy won't finish as the first 1-loss team in league history.
Jordan vs TJ: This was supposed to be the bonanza, and Jordan pulled his weight as the only team to hit 150+ this week, but the Bye-mageddon was too much for TJ to overcome. This was only the 2nd time he has scored under 100 all season -- the other time being week 1, also against Jordan. Jordan was led to victory by 3 people scoring 20+ (the Texans DST, Josh Jacobs, and the fantasy season MVP Saquon Barkley). TJ's stack of Rams (Stafford and Puka) also got 20+. TJ had 4 people score single digits, while Jordan had 3. The biggest difference in this game was Saquon going for 46, which was more than TJ's top two scorers. That being said, this was enough of a blowout that Jordan could have sat Saquon and still won by double digits.
Kyle vs Tyler: This was the underrated game of the week. It didn't score a lot, it was only the 3rd closest game, but it was a big deal for the playoff hunt, and it included a come-from-behind win thanks to Lamar. A Kyle win would have put him to 6-6 and it would have put Tyler on life support at 4-8. Instead, they are tied at 5-7 and the tiebreaker is manageable enough that Tyler could overcome it if things break his way. Tyler had 3 people score 20+ (Lamar, Jakobi, and Jonnu), while Kyle had 2 (Mahomes and Pollard). Kyle had 5 people score single digits, while Tyler only had 3.
Matt vs Rob: Another victim of the Bye-pocalypse, Matt lost in the blowout of the week. This was his first time getting under 100 on the season. Rob put the beatdown on thanks to Tua and Jahmyr each scoring 20+. They actually combined for 60, and if Rob only played them, Matt would have only won by 24 points (he lost to Rob by nearly 60 for context). Matt had no one score 20+ points this week, but fret not dear reader, we will not leave Matt's accomplishments out -- he had 5 people score single digits. That's more than half his team scoring less than 50 points. Rob only had one person score single digits
Scott vs Brady: This was another blowout, but not the blowout. Brady had two players score 20+ (AJ Brown and his Kicker), while Scott had 0. Speaking of 0, Scott wishes his DST scored that high (it was -1). Scott had 6 people in single digits (including negative single digits), while Brady only had 2. This blowout would have been more had Brady's top 2 RB's not both left with injuries. This was also the battle of ineptitude.
Brandon vs Trevor: I was distracted by my own game, but this was the game of the week. It was decided by 1.26 points. Herbert had enough of a good game for Trevor, and King Henry didn't do enough to offset the Chargers DST for Brandon. I can't imagine a stat correction will come into play, but you never know. There are so many one off plays that could have changed the course of this game, so we won't dive down that rabbit hole. Trevor had two players score 20+ points (Trey and Nico), while Brandon had three people score 20+ (Achane, Kupp, and Kittle). Trevor also had 5 players score single digits, while Brandon had 4. I am legitimately incredibly confused how Trevor won. I suppose if the DST scored 8 more points, they still would have been a single digit team, and Brandon would have won by about a TD, but the overall blog metrics would have been the same.
Award Season
MVP: I wanted to give it to Saquon as the best player on the best team, but he wasn't even necessary for the win. I will split the award though between Courtland Sutton and Trey McBride for scoring their highest games of the season during and incredibly close week.
LVP: Another split -- Seibert had his lowest game of the season, and Downs scored single digits for the firs time since week 7.
Luckiest Team of the Week: Trevor wins this award for how he won, and also because he only outscored 4 teams this weeks.
Unluckiest Team of the Week: Only 3 teams would have beat Skyler this week, and he was matched up with one of them.
Highest Scoring Team of the Week: Jordan
Lowest Scoring Team of the Week: Matt
King of the Court: Tyler takes it from Kyle, and goes up against TJ, normally a juggernaut, but maybe he’s trending down? Or maybe that was just the bye week.
Game Previews
Stupid Reminder that there will be a Black Friday game on Amazon this week. How many prime commercials will there? The small, small bonus, I suppose, is that the game will be for anyone who has an Amazon account, and not just an amazon prime account.
Skyler (9) vs Scott (11): Skyler has 2 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 0 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. Scott has 0 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 2 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye.
TJ (2) vs Tyler (7): TJ has 2 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 0 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. Tyler has 5 player on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 1 player in primetime. He has 0 players on bye.
Kyle (8) vs Jordan (1): Kyle has 2 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 0 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. Jordan has 3 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 0 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye.
Matt (3) vs Brandon (10): Matt has 3 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 1 player in primetime. He has 0 players on bye. Brandon has 2 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 2 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye.
Trevor (4) vs Rob (6): Trevor has 2 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 2 players in primetime. He has 0 player on bye. Rob has 3 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 1 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye.
Tommy (12) vs Brady (5): Tommy has 2 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 4 players in primetime. He has 2 players on bye. Brady has 3 players on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and 2 players in primetime. He has 0 players on bye.
Playoff Update
Playoff Scenarios
Matt, TJ, Jordan -- In
Tommy -- Out
Trevor - 7-4 If he beats Rob, he is locked into the playoffs.
Rob and Brady - 6-5 If they win and all the 5-6 teams lose, they are locked into the playoffs. Brady will win the division with a win and a Skyler loss.
Kyle, Tyler, and Skyler - 5-6 If Kyle and Tyler lose and Rob wins, they are out. Brady winning or losing will not affect Kyle or Tyler. A win keeps them all alive.
Scott, Brandon - 4-8 If they lose or if Rob wins, they are out. Brady winning or losing doesn't affect them.
Divisions and Seeding
West: TJ and Jordan are still fighting for their division, but Jordan beat down TJ by so much this week that the tiebreaker difference is now at 6 points, which is easily overcome in the last two weeks.
South: Matt still leads the division, but Trevor still has a small chance to win it. A Matt win or a Trevor loss makes Matt the division champion.
North: Anyone but Tommy can still win, but it will be incredibly difficult for anyone to catch Brady given the current schedule and tiebreakers. A Brady win and a Skyler loss gives Brady the division.
There's a lot of you who I need to lose, so I hope you do. Same to the teams in the B12 ahead of BYU.
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