Wednesday, September 4, 2019

UHSAA Week 4 Predictions

I know I have mentioned in other posts that the current RPI numbers are still a little volatile, but I thought I would try using them to predict this week's winners and losers.  It won't include any matchups with out of state opponents or exhibition games (there are 7 such games).  The initial trial run also ignores home-field advantage and doesn't take into account classification differences (there are 4 such games).  I have ideas about how to account for those variations in future weeks, but I wanted to keep the first run simple.



Away Team Away RPI Home Team Home RPI RPI Predicted Winner
Syracuse 0.589034421 Weber 0.5 Syracuse
North Summit 0.393208333 Layton Christian 0.298333333 North Summit
Gunnison Valley 0.49725 Monticello 0.53939047 Monticello
Beaver 0.746251466 North Sevier 0.492474603 Beaver
Millard 0.7565848 Kanab 0.4618125 Millard
Parowan 0.477461904 Enterprise 0.673130157 Enterprise
Clearfield 0.285833331 Davis 0.405000002 Davis
Fremont 0.336666672 Northridge 0.458333343 Northridge
Roy 0.485833334 Layton 0.448333339 Roy
Kearns 0.685688407 Taylorsville 0.420471001 Kearns
West Jordan 0.347826086 Hunter 0.469166668 Hunter
Murray 0.507936083 Olympus 0.53811595 Olympus
Skyline 0.399083327 Cottonwood 0.255376464 Skyline
Mountain Ridge 0.416123192 Lehi 0.571571693 Lehi
Orem 0.533333333 Alta 0.486756619 Orem
Payson 0.651652503 Salem Hills 0.528333339 Payson
Spanish Fork 0.406159431 Provo 0.535898777 Provo
Springville 0.738166658 Maple Mountain 0.562875001 Springville
Canyon View 0.240152415 Pine View 0.53233332 Pine View
Crimson Cliffs 0.448538143 Hurricane 0.347130401 Crimson Cliffs
Desert Hills 0.357042333 Snow Canyon 0.292290934 Desert Hills
Dixie 0.65999274 Cedar 0.467041648 Dixie
Cedar Valley 0.320000008 Stansbury 0.494962843 Stansbury
Ogden 0.591666667 Mountain View 0.639992716 Mountain View
Tooele 0.512764708 Ben Lomond 0.446242918 Tooele
Uintah 0.123624986 Park City 0.748833296 Park City
Bear River 0.31149819 Morgan 0.776769063 Morgan
American Fork 0.656307684 East 0.388096932 American Fork
American Leadership Academy 0.606769063 San Juan 0.541240878 American Leadership Academy
Bonneville 0.448153451 Mountain Crest 0.351860509 Bonneville
Brighton 0.62666669 Bountiful 0.436534418 Brighton
Carbon 0.527461904 Judge Memorial 0.441666667 Carbon
Delta 0.651714195 Grantsville 0.601245162 Delta
Duchesne 0.791565078 Milford 0.740041667 Duchesne
Emery 0.4825 Juan Diego 0.27932607 Emery
Farmington 0.796874997 Lone Peak 0.71588123 Farmington
Green Canyon 0.688630817 Box Elder 0.503550737 Green Canyon
Herriman 0.7 Westlake 0.565327368 Herriman
Highland 0.565858713 Hillcrest 0.207971012 Highland
Jordan 0.531690614 Corner Canyon 0.816666667 Corner Canyon
North Sanpete 0.648176962 Richfield 0.660416667 Richfield
Pleasant Grove 0.745422654 Viewmont 0.394541673 Pleasant Grove
Riverton 0.566992754 Granger 0.355797109 Riverton
South Sevier 0.378231745 Juab 0.613153446 Juab
Timpanogos 0.489374994 Woods Cross 0.812500024 Woods Cross
Union 0.394833314 Summit Academy 0.368592106 Union
West 0.509999989 Cyprus 0.310471024 West

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