Monday, September 9, 2019

Week 1: Fantasy Football is Back...

...and all is right in the world.  My evenings have been all football since Thursday night, and I couldn't be happier about it.  Let's get straight to the breakdowns.

Skyler vs Tommy: Tommy started out with a solid week with only one player not getting double digits.  The Carolina/Rams game was crucial for this matchup (and Tommy's sanity as a Panther's fan).  Unfortunately for Skyler, his two players from this game added up to around 10 points, and Tommy's two players from this game added up to around 50 points.  McCaffrey looks like he will carry Tommy a long way this year.  If the rest of Tommy's team can stay consistent, he will have a great year.  Skyler's top two running backs look solid, but he will need to surround them with better talent.

Brandon vs Brady: Remember when Brandon lost his best WR for the week because of his crazy antics, and you wouldn't blame him if he had a bad week?  Those were good times.  Emphasis on the "were" because Brandon was the high scorer of the week.  Derrick Henry looked solid (yes, I watched the whole game), Hopkins did Hopkins things, and with Tyreek Hill likely to miss several weeks, Sammy Watkins has a chance to be amazing.  Oh, and Antonio Brown will have Tom Brady throwing to him starting next week.  I am hoping this is just beginners luck.  Brady looks like he will be set at QB for the season, Kittle should be better (he had two TD's called back), and his RB's can only go up from here.

Matt vs Rob: This ended up being the fantasy football game of the week.  It was tied at 117.22 at halftime of the last game of the week, but Matt was able to come up with the win thanks to Jacobs (who looks like he will be a workhorse).  For Matt, Mahomes was still Mahomes, and Carson looked like he is the real deal -- especially with the receptions added in -- and he has a lot of WR depth that will probably be a hassle to try and deal with every week, but if they all keep hitting 10-15 points a week, it's a good problem to have.  Rob may have the best RB on the Rams, and his name isn't Gurley.  In reality,  I doubt Brown keeps vulturing the TD's, but to pair him with Wentz, Thomas, and Kelce gives him a well-rounded team.

Ren vs Trevor: This one was the closest game of the week,  but Tyrelle Williams wasn't enough Monday night to lift Trevor over Ren (it wasn't expected to happen).  Ren got a win this week, even with his first-round pick (Davante Adams) being awful.  Assuming Adams steps up the rest of the season, Ren will have a solid core of Kamara, Adams, and Keenan Allen.  Going forward, Trevor should be better.  A Rog won't play the Bears every week, and Trevor can start Hilton, Fitzgerald, and Walker (who combined for 75 points on the bench) with Zeke, and a good looking Ekeler.

TJ vs Jordan: This wasn't the biggest whooping of the week, but it was a solid win for Jordan. Jordan went all-in on the Ravens this week -- and by that I mean 1/3 of his team were Ravens and they finished with around 83 points, which was 57% of Jordan's points for the week.  Jordan is set at QB for this year with Lamar Jackson and Tom Brady, and Ingram looks like a steal -- Jordan will need all the help he can get to ride out the Tyreek Hill injury. Despite the loss this week, TJ has a solid core of Barkley and Brees -- and if this week is any indication, he shouldn't worry about Williams production on the Chiefs.

Tyler vs Kyle: Tyler was the second-highest scorer of the week.  He had a great Monday night with Watson going crazy.  He also had great weeks out of Mack and Engram.  Of the two, I think Engram is a little more sustainable, but Mack (and the Colts) look like they will be fine without Luck.  If Evans, Beckham, and Chubb turn it around, Tyler will have a great year.  Kyle's team had a lot of players with solid to good games, but only Le'Veon Bell had a game that Kyle was probably happy about.  Gurley didn't get the TD's, Goff looked a little iffy (though that's his thing on the road), and Juju didn't get a lot of points even though the Steelers were down the whole game -- that should all change during the season.  He should be happy about the targets Allen Robinson got and should get going forward.

Now to some awards.

High Scorer of the Week: Brandon edged out Tyler by scoring 163.64 on the week.  I'm afraid we will see him in this spot several times throughout the year.

Low Scorer of the Week:  Brady's team really brought their F games this week.  Four of his starters scored in the single digits.

Luckiest Team of the Week: Matt for waiting so long to get the win, and Ren for winning by less than 3.  The top 6 teams all won, so there wasn't bad team that got lucky this week.

Unluckiest Team of the Week: Rob for losing it late, and Trevor for getting so close, but not having Tyrell Williams pull through.

MVP(s) of the Week:  Watkins as the high scorer on the best team, and Josh Jacobs for getting Matt the win.

LVP(s) of the Week: The Jags D (-5), Dante Pettis (1.7), Sony Michel (1.4), Matt Bryant (0), the Browns D (1), and the Broncos D (1) because they were all starters who scored 2 or fewer points.

Looking forward to next week.

Skyler vs Brandon: Two of Brandon's players will play in primetime games (Sunday or Monday night.  Thursday nights don't count because they usually have poor results) this week, while Skyler has none.

Tommy vs Brady: Brady has two players in primetime, while Tommy has zero.  This game is projected to be within 6 points.

Ren vs Matt: Ren has four players in primetime and Matt has none.  Important games for this matchup are Car/TB Thursday night (four total players) and Atl/Phi Sunday night (four total players). This game is projected to be within 4 points.

Rob vs Trevor: They each have one player playing in primetime.

Tyler vs TJ: They have a combined three players (two for Tyler, one for TJ) in one primetime game.  That primetime game is Monday night, which usually doesn't end well for TJ.  History suggests Tyler gets the win late next week. This game is projected to be within 4 points.

Jordan vs Kyle: As of right now, Kyle is the only one with a primetime player.

That's all for this week.  Good luck next week to everyone except Brandon.  **And please forgive my 15 edits.  That's what happens when I write it before the games go final.**

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